摘要
能源资源是俄罗斯的“立国之本”,对外能源合作则是俄罗斯的“发展之基”。从2014年“克里米亚事件”爆发,到2022年实施“特别军事行动”,俄罗斯现代化政策中的“安全—发展”逻辑发生转变,呈现出一切以“安全为纲”的特点。欧洲与俄罗斯相邻,欧盟不仅是俄罗斯现代化的“范本”参照,而且还是俄罗斯对外能源合作的第一大伙伴,为俄罗斯实现现代化提供发展累积。乌克兰危机全面升级后,欧盟瞄准俄罗斯对其市场和技术设备双重依赖的弱点,对俄罗斯实施能源“脱钩”,并加大出口管制和科技封锁,意图打击俄罗斯的经济发展命脉。俄罗斯对外能源合作,被迫由之前的强调优先发展欧盟等西方发达国家,向中国、印度等新兴市场国家转变;同时,尽管乌克兰危机后俄罗斯对外能源合作面临极大挑战,但仍无法在短时间内改变俄罗斯现代化政策优先应用于能源领域的偏好。
Energy resources are the foundation of Russia’s statehood whereas foreign energy cooperation is the basis of Russia’s development.Since the outbreak of the Crimea Incident in 2014 and the implementation of"the Special Military Operation"in 2022,the logic of"security-development"in Russia’s modernization policy has changed,giving priority to security.As Europe is adjacent to Russia,the European Union is not only a"model"for Russia’s modernization,but also its first partner in foreign energy cooperation,providing Russia with cumulative development opportunities for modernization.After the full escalation of the Ukrainian crisis,the European Union has targeted at the weakness of Russia’s dual dependence on its market and technical equipment and imposed energy"decoupling"on Russia by increasing export control and scientific and technological blockade with the intention of hitting the lifeblood of Russia’s economic development.As a result,Russia’s foreign energy cooperation has been forced to shift from prioritizing development of the European Union and other developed Western countries to China,India and other emerging countries.At the same time,it is not likely for Russia to change its preference to prioritizing the energy sector in its modernization policy in the short term,despite the great challenges facing its foreign energy cooperation in the wake of the Ukrainian crisis.
作者
高焓迅
GAO Hanxun(Institute of Russian,Eastern European and Central Asian Studies,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 100007,China)
出处
《中国石油大学学报（社会科学版）》
2024年第5期47-53,共7页
Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Social Sciences)
基金
中央社会主义学院统一战线高端智库项目(ZK202302101)
中国社会科学院重大创新项目(2023YZD059)。
关键词
乌克兰危机
现代化
安全—发展
对外能源合作
Ukrainian crisis
modernization
security-development
foreign energy cooperation
作者简介
高焓迅(1988—),男,山东青岛人,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副研究员,法学博士,研究方向为上合组织与中亚区域合作。
