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“一带一路”共建国响应差异的比较分析——基于2014~2019年137个国家的双边合作数据

Diverse Responses in Belt and Road Countries:A Comparative Study Based on Bilateral Cooperation Data(2014~2019)
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摘要 截至2022年底,“一带一路”共建国数量已超过150个,但各国对倡议的响应存在明显差异。文章运用主成分分析法对2014~2019年加入共建“一带一路”倡议的137个国家签署合作文件后两年内的响应状况进行动态跟踪,发现样本国家可区分为22个高响应国家以及115个普通响应国家。高响应国家集群中,7国位于东南亚,其余15国相对均匀地散布在南亚、中亚、非洲、欧洲、拉美及东亚;此外,早期加入倡议的国家在资金、市场等领域对中国有较大需求,而中期加入的部分国家则通过增强政治互动迅速推进多领域合作。文章还发现共建国政府在参与“一带一路”合作时普遍遵循了实事求是及循序渐进等原则。 By the end of 2022,over 150 nations had embraced the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).However,their reactions to the initiative have been markedly diverse.This research adopts principal component analysis to dynamically scrutinize the responses of 137 countries that entered the BRI from 2014 to 2019,within two years post-signing the cooperation agreements.The analysis discerns that these nations can be divided into two categories:high-response countries(22)and ordinary-response countries(115).Within the high-response group,7 are in Southeast Asia,while the remaining 15 are distributed more uniformly across South Asia,Central Asia,Africa,Europe,Latin America,and East Asia.The study also reveals that the early BRI joiners sought more capital and market opportunities from China,whereas the mid-term entrants expedited cooperation through intensified political engagements.Furthermore,it was observed that the governments of these countries generally adhered to pragmatic and incremental approaches in advancing BRI cooperation.
作者 李畅 胡子南 Li Chang;Hu Zinan(School of International Relations,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou;School of Foreign Languages,Tongji University,Shanghai)
出处 《经济社会体制比较》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第2期175-187,共13页 Comparative Economic & Social Systems
基金 广东外语外贸大学引进人才科研启动项目“‘一带一路’共建国响应差异的比较分析”(项目编号:2022RC052) 教育部人文社会科学基金项目“欧盟重朔外商投资规则带来的影响及对策建议”(项目编号:23YGCGJW002)。
关键词 “一带一路” 合作倡议 共建国 比较分析 Belt and Road Initiative Cooperative Initiatives Belt and Road Countries Comparative Analysis
作者简介 李畅,广东外语外贸大学国际关系学院讲师,南开大学国家安全研究院研究员;通讯作者:胡子南,同济大学外国语学助理教授,德国研究中心研究员。
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