摘要
为丰富装配式建筑全生命周期风险评价理论研究,对装配式建筑各阶段风险进行有效识别并评价,以期降低风险发生概率,运用文献研究法、专家访谈法,选取装配式建筑决策、设计、构件生产和运输、施工、运营5个阶段27个风险指标建立评价指标体系;运用主观赋权法中改进层次分析法和客观赋权法中熵权法进行组合赋权确定指标权重,结合模糊综合评价法构建评价模型;将模型应用于武汉某装配式建筑进行实证分析得出各阶段风险等级。结果表明:该模型评估结果可靠,评估方法具有一定的科学性和合理性,对装配式建筑全生命周期风险评价和管理研究具有重要意义。
In order to enrich the whole life cycle risk evaluation theory,the risk identification and evaluation of each stage of the prefabricated building is carried out effectively,so as to reduce the probability of the occurrence of risk,this paper uses literature research method and expert interview method to select 27 risk indicators of the decision-making,design,component production and transportation,construction,operation stage of the prefabricated building to establish the evaluation index system.Using improved analytic hierarchy process(IAHP)and entropy weight method(EWM)to determine index weight,combined with fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to construct evaluation model.The model was applied to a prefabricated building in Wuhan and the risk level of each stage was obtained by empirical analysis.The results show that the model is reliable,and the evaluation method is scientific and reasonable,which is of great significance to the whole life cycle risk assessment and management of the prefabricated buildings.
作者
刘明
卫烜艾
LIU Ming;WEI Xuanyi(School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao Shandong 266520,China)
出处
《佳木斯大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2024年第3期130-133,共4页
Journal of Jiamusi University：Natural Science Edition
关键词
装配式建筑
全生命周期
风险评价
熵权法
改进的层次分析法
模糊综合评价法
prefabricated building
whole life cycle
risk assessment
entropy weight method(EWM)
improved analytic hierarchy process(IAHP)
fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
作者简介
刘明(1968-),男,辽宁朝阳人,副教授,博士,研究方向:项目管理、人力资源管理;通讯作者:卫烜艾(1993-),女,山西吕梁人,硕士,研究方向:项目管理、人力资源管理。
