摘要
本文借鉴计算机领域耦合理论,构建适用于研究国家间耦合关系的分析框架,重新审视全球化进程,根据耦合程度高低分为七大类型:内容耦合、公共耦合、外部耦合、控制耦合、标记耦合、数据耦合、零耦合或脱钩。研究认为:第一,正确判断当下全球化趋势,应当同时观察耦合关系中的结构型变量和数值型变量变化,不应单独抓住数值型变量变化来判断全球化趋势。第二,在未来全球化进程中,国家间的耦合关系会不断调整,尽管当前全球化进程遭受保护主义、单边主义以及技术阻隔等多重不利影响,但全球化没有倒退,反而以更加快速、深入和复杂的方式推进,各国仍会在求同存异中寻找合作机会,当前保护主义和孤立主义只是暂时现象。第三,中国需深度拥抱世界,继续切实落实制度型开放中的各项措施,加强与世界各国多维度交流,深化对外开放层次,加强产业链关联,降低与世界经济的主动脱钩和被动脱钩风险。
This paper draws on the coupling theory in the computer field to build a framework suitable for analyzing the coupling relationship between countries,re-examines the process of globalization,and divides it into seven types according to the degree of coupling:content coupling,public coupling,external coupling,control coupling,label coupling,and data coupling,decoupling.The study believes that:First,to correctly judge the current globalization trend,should observe the changes of structural variables and numerical variables in the coupling relationship at the same time,and we should not only grasp the changes of numerical variables to judge the globalization trend.Second,in the future process of globalization,the coupling relationship between countries will continue to be adjusted.Although the current process of globalization suffers from multiple adverse effects such as protectionism,unilateralism,and technological barriers,globalization has not regressed,but has moved faster.In an in-depth and complex manner,countries will still seek opportunities for cooperation while reserving differences.The current protectionism and isolationism are only temporary phenomena.Third,China needs to deeply embrace the world,continue to effectively implement various measures in institutional opening up,strengthen multi-dimensional exchanges with countries around the world,deepen the level of opening-up,strengthen industrial chain linkages,and reduce the risk of active and passive decoupling from the world economy.This article provides a new framework for a reasonable understanding of globalization.
作者
石先进
SHI Xianjin(Institute of World Economics and Politics,Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing,100732)
出处
《西南大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第4期96-107,共12页
Journal of Southwest University(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
中国社会科学院青年科研启动项目“央行独立性对公债可持续性的影响研究”(2022YQNQD048),项目负责人:石先进。
关键词
全球化
耦合框架
新趋势
应对措施
globalization
coupling framework
new trends
measures
作者简介
石先进,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所,助理研究员。
