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随机需求下考虑产品替代的跨国供应链网络均衡决策 被引量:4

Cross-national supply chain network equilibrium decision of considering product substitution under stochastic demand
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摘要 在跨国供应链网络系统中,上下游企业在交易过程中不可避免地面临着关税政策,与此同时,本土产品的替代作用也会影响关税实施效果和各方决策.基于此,文章考虑产品替代性,构建随机需求下受关税政策影响的跨国供应链成员利润最大化模型,利用互补系统,得到跨国供应链网络的均衡决策.研究表明:1)随着国家提高进口关税,国内生产交易替代产品的企业利润会上升;2)本土产品交易量以及制造商和经销商的期望利润均会随着该国进口产品需求不确定性的增加而降低;3)若制造商提高其产品对进口产品的替代程度,则本土产品交易量增加,此外还会使得本土制造商的利润和与其交易的经销商的期望利润增加,国家实施关税政策会放大这一积极影响. In the cross-national supply chain network system,upstream and downstream enterprises inevitably face tariff policies in the transaction process.At the same time,the substitution of local products will also have an impact on the tariff implementation and the decision-making of all parties.Considering product substitutability,this paper constructs a profit maximization model of multinational supply chain members affected by tariff policy under random demand,and using the complementary system,the equilibrium decision of transnational supply chain network is obtained.The results show that:1)As the country increases the tariffs on imported products,the profits of the enterprises producing and trading substitute products will increase;2)When the demand fluctuation of a country's imported products increases,the trading volume of the country's local products will reduce,and both manufacturers'profit and dealers'expected profit will decrease;3)If the manufacturer improves the substitution degree of its products for imported products,the trading volume of products will increase,which will also increase the profit of the manufacturer and the expected profit of dealers dealing with it,the implementation of national tariff policy will amplify the positive impact of local products on the improvement of the substitution degree of imported products.
作者 周晓阳 曹文静 符皓然 冯平平 柴建 ZHOU Xiaoyang;CAO Wenjing;FU Haoran;FENG Pingping;CHAI Jian(School of Management,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710049,China;School of Economics and Management,Xidian University,Xi'an 710126,China;Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China)
出处 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2022年第11期2853-2868,共16页 Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金 国家自然科学基金(72271194) 国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD53)。
关键词 跨国供应链网络 关税 产品替代 随机需求 cross-national supply chain network tariff product substitution stochastic demand
作者简介 周晓阳(1984-),女,汉,陕西澄城人,教授,博士生导师,研究方向:决策分析,供应链管理等,E-mail:x.y.zhou@foxmail.com;曹文静(1997-),女,汉,河北石家庄人,硕士研究生,研究方向:供应链管理,E-mail:caowenjing333@163.com;符皓然(1990-),男,汉,陕西眉县人,助理教授,硕士生导师,研究方向:交通流模型,网络均衡分析等,E-mail:haoranfu@xjtu.edu.cn;冯平平(1989-),女,汉,山东济宁人,讲师,硕士生导师,研究方向:供应链管理,E-mail:ppfeng@xidian.edu.cn;柴建(1982-),男,汉,河南信阳人,教授,博士生导师,研究方向:产业经济,宏观计量经济模型开发等,E-mail:chaijian0376@126.com.
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