摘要
全球产业链发展正呈现新趋势,产业链布局趋向本土化、区域化、松动化,产业链组织则呈现短链化、集群化、智能化趋势。产业链的深刻变革将会对中国城市发展格局产生一定影响。从区域视角看,产业链变革将给不同地区城市带来异质性影响,中部和西部城市发展将迎来新一轮机遇。从城市群视角看,产业链变革将加速都市圈和城市群的崛起。从城市视角看,产业链变革将深刻影响不同层级城市的发展。国家中心城市主要发挥科技创新中心和金融中心的功能,成为头部城市;区域中心城市主要发展高端制造业和生产性服务业,构成颈部城市;城市群内中小城市主要发展本城市群主导产业链的中低端环节,构成腰部城市;非城市群内的中小城市将变成消费型城市,属于腿部城市。新形势下优化我国城市发展格局,应从三个层面出发:充分发挥区域比较优势,分类施策推动东中部和西部城市错位联动发展;强化城市群一体化建设,多措并举打造产业链创新链服务链集聚地;布局多层嵌套城市体系,分级定策助推不同层级城市发挥优势功能。
At present,the development of the global industrial chain is showing a new trend,the layout of the industrial chain tends to be localized,regional and loose,and the industrial chain organization presents a trend of short-chained,clustered,and intelligence.The profound changes of the industrial chain will have a certain impact on China’s urban development pattern:from a regional perspective,the industrial chain changes will bring a heterogeneous impact on the cities in different regions,and the urban development of the central and western regions will usher in a new round of opportunities.From the perspective of urban agglomeration,the future trend of industrial chain reform will accelerate the rise of urban circle and urban agglomeration.From the perspective of cities,the future reform trend of the industrial chain will profoundly affect the development of cities at different levels.The national central city mainly plays the function of scientific and technological innovation center and financial center,become the head city;regional central city mainly develops high-end manufacturing and producer services,constitute the neck city;small and medium-sized cities in urban agglomeration mainly develop the low and low-end links of the leading industrial chain,constitute the waist city;and non-medium-sized urban agglomeration will become consumer cities,as the leg cities.To optimize the development pattern of China’s cities under the new situation,we should proceed from three aspects:we should give full play to regional comparative advantages and implement classified policies to promote the dislocation and linkage development of eastern,central and western cities.At the same time,it is necessary to strengthen the integrated construction of urban agglomerations and take multiple measures to create a gathering place for industrial chain innovation chain service chain.A multi-layer nested city system should also be laid out,and hierarchical policies should be formulated to help cities at different levels play their advantageous functions.
作者
沈立
倪鹏飞
Shen Li;Ni Peng-fei(Department of Economic Forecasting,State Information Center,Beijing 100045;National Academy of Economic Strategy,Chinese Academy of Social Science,Beijing 100006)
出处
《经济纵横》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第2期60-68,共9页
Economic Review Journal
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“多中心群网化中国城市新体系的决定机制研究”(编号:71774170)的成果。
关键词
产业链
城市格局
新发展格局
Industrial Chain
Urban System
New Development Pattern
作者简介
沈立,国家信息中心经济预测部博士;倪鹏飞,中国社会科学院财经战略研究院研究员。
