长三角金融发展影响城市群空间经济演变的时空异质性分析——基于传统金融与数字金融双重维度的实证研究被引量：2

Spatial and Temporal Heterogeneity Analysis of the Impact of Financial Development on Spatial Economic Evolution of Urban Agglomerations in the Yangtze River Delta--Empirical Research based on the Dual Dimensions of Traditional Finance and Digital Finance

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摘要本文基于2012-2019年长三角地区41座城市的面板数据,在测度城市群经济分布特征及演变轨迹的基础上,采用时空加权回归模型从城市金融与经济存在时空非平衡关系的视角,解释城市群经济时空演变轨迹形成的原因,并以传统金融和数字金融两种维度,实证检验两类金融业态驱动城市经济发展的时空异质性。研究发现:(1)长三角空间经济呈现相对稳定但极化程度逐步减弱的“核心-外围”结构,伴随城际经济差距的拉大,经济分布主要向南北两端扩散;(2)传统金融对城市经济发展的影响存在时空异质性,促进效应较大的区域逐渐由苏南等次核心区向周边城市迁移,显示其对城市群经济向北、向西扩散具有重要作用;(3)数字金融对城市经济的影响受空间异质性主导,促进效应较大的城市主要是上海及上海以南的浙江城市,表明数字金融是拉动城市群经济向南扩散的主要力量。 Based on the panel data of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta from 2012 to 2019, on the basis of measuring the economic distribution characteristics and evolution trajectories of urban agglomer-ations, this paper adopts Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression model to explain the reasons for the formation of the temporal and spatial evolution trajectory of the urban agglomeration economy from the perspective of the unbalanced relationship between urban finance and economy, and empirically test the temporal and spatial heterogeneity of the two types of financial formats driving urban economic development from the two dimensions of traditional finance and digital finance. The study found that:(1)the spatial economy of the Yangtze River Delta presents a relatively stable “core-periphery” structure with a gradually weakening degree of polarization. With the widening of the inter-city economic gap, the economic distribution mainly spreads to the north and south;(2)the effect of traditional financial on urban economic development is temporal and spatial heterogeneity, plays an important role in the northward and westward diffusion of the urban agglomeration economy,areas with greater promotion effect gradually migrate from subcore areas such as southern Jiangsu to surrounding cities;(3)the effect of digital finance on the urban economy is dominated by spatial heterogeneity;it is the main forces driving the economic spread of the urban agglomeration to the south;the cities with greater promotion effect are mainly Shanghai and Zhejiang cities.

作者倪进峰隗斌贤 Ni Jinfeng;Kui Binxian(School of Economics,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058;Zhejiang Zhijiang Economic Development Strategy Research Institute,Hangzhou 310000)

机构地区浙江大学经济学院浙商银行发展规划部浙江之江经济发展战略研究院

出处《浙江社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2022年第5期4-16,28,155,共15页 Zhejiang Social Sciences

关键词传统金融供给数字金融服务时空加权回归模型城市群空间经济演变 traditional financial supply digital financial services geographically and temporally weighted regression model spatial economic evolution of urban agglomerations

分类号 F832.7 [经济管理—金融学]

作者简介倪进峰,浙江大学经济学院博士后,浙商银行发展规划部职员,(杭州310058);隗斌贤,浙江之江经济发展战略研究院常务副院长。(杭州310000)。