摘要
本文采用2002—2018年中国与海外国家的进出口贸易额数据,利用混合回归、固定效应和随机效应,考虑了人均GDP、贸易开放度和距离的影响,实证检验了入境中国的游客数量对进出口贸易的影响。研究结果显示,入境中国的游客数量对进出口额的影响显著且系数为正,各国人均GDP对进出口额的影响为正且能够通过显著性检验,贸易开放度的影响为正、距离的影响为负但都不能通过显著性检验。在此研究结果的基础上,本文提出了扩大对中国旅游的宣传力度、加大对旅游市场的监管和扩大开放的政策建议。本文的研究结论对中国旅游行业发展和国际贸易相关政策制定存在一定的参考价值。
This article uses the data of import and export trade volume between China and overseas countries from 2002 to 2018,using mixed regression,fixed effects and random effects,considering the impact of per capita GDP,trade openness and distance,and empirically test the number of tourists entering China The impact on import and export trade.The research results show that the number of tourists entering China has a significant impact on the import and export volume and the coefficient is positive.The per capita GDP of each country has a positive impact on the import and export volume and can pass the significance test.The impact of trade openness is positive and the impact of distance Negative but none of them pass the significance test.Based on the results of this research,this article puts forward policy recommendations for expanding the promotion of China's tourism,strengthening the supervision of the tourism market,and expanding opening up.The research conclusions of this article have certain reference value for the development of China's tourism industry and the formulation of international trade-related policies.
作者
赵莹莹
ZHAO Ying-ying(East China University of Political Science and Law,Shanghai 201620)
出处
《江苏商论》
2022年第1期46-49,57,共5页
Jiangsu Commercial Forum
关键词
入境旅游
进出口贸易
inbound tourism
import and export trade
作者简介
赵莹莹,华东政法大学商学院研究生,研究方向:国际贸易。
