摘要
研究目标:探究我国农业经济发展方式转变中的三大能力间的耦合关系及其对农林牧渔总产值的影响。研究方法:从技术能力、组织能力、支撑制度能力的视角构建农业经济发展方式转变能力评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型对我国2000~2017年农业经济发展方式转变能力进行评价。在此基础上,运用2000~2017年全国农业经济数据分析农业经济发展方式转变能力对农林牧渔总产值的影响。研究发现:这三大能力间的耦合程度总体处于较高水平,且呈逐年递增趋势;耦合协调度的初始发展程度较低,但也呈逐年递增趋势。在排除由于通货膨胀引起经济增长后的回归结果表明,现阶段影响农林牧渔总产值的主要是技术能力,而且只有技术能力与组织能力等协调发展才能更好地促进农林牧渔总产值提高。研究创新:从能力成长的视角研究农业经济发展方式转变。研究价值:为"十四五"时期实现农业经济发展方式深层次转变提供经验依据和决策参考。
Research Objectives:To explore the coupling relationship between the three capacities of agricultural economic development mode transformation and their influences on the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery.Research Methods:The evaluation index system of agricultural economic development mode transformation capacity is constructed from the perspective of technical capacity,organizational capacity and institutional capacity.The coupling degree model,the coupling coordination degree model and entropy value method are used to evaluate the transformation capacity of agricultural economic development mode of China from 2000 to 2017.On this basis,the national agricultural economic data from 2000 to 2017 is used to analyze the impact of the transformation ability of agricultural economic development mode on the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery.Research Findings:The results show that the coupling degree between the transformation capacities of agricultural economic development mode in these three aspects is generally at a high level,and presents an increasing trend year by year.The regression results after excluding the economic growth caused by inflation show that the main factor affecting the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery is technical capacity.And only the coordinated development of technical capacity and organizational capacity can better promote the total output value of agriculture,forestry,animal husbandry and fishery.Research Innovations:This paper makes a research on the transformation of agricultural economic development mode from the perspective of capacity growth.Research Value:It provides decision-making reference and empirical evidence for the deeper transformation of agricultural economic development mode during the fourteenth five-year plan period.
作者
刘丽伟
高中理
周密
Liu Liwei;Gao Zhongli;Zhou Mi(Business School,East China University of Political Science and Law;Business School,Shanghai Jianqiao University;School of Economics and Management,Shenyang Agricultural University)
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2021年第8期3-21,共19页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
国家社科基金项目“创新驱动视角下农业经济发展方式转变能力成长的关键问题研究”(14BJL076)的阶段性成果。
关键词
农业经济发展方式转变
技术能力
组织能力
支撑制度能力
耦合度
Transformation of Agricultural Economic Development Mode
Technical Capacity
Organizational Capacity
Institutional Capacity
Coupling Degree
