摘要
研究不完全信息情景下农业生物质发电原料供应链博弈问题能够为提升供应链运作稳定性提供有益参考。以古诺模型为基础,构建农业生物质发电原料供应链不完全信息非合作博弈模型,实证分析了不同博弈条件下各参与方的策略选择及均衡供给量。实证结果表明,成本信息不对称会导致农业生物质发电原料均衡供给量的波动,博弈参与方对契约类型的选择会干扰农业生物质发电原料的期望供应量,高成本专业经纪人出现的概率与农业生物质发电原料期望供应量负相关。有鉴于此,为实现均衡供给下农业生物质发电原料供应链高效运作,应建立信息共享中心,缓解信息不对称,着力完善契约机制,保证供给稳定性和有效性,重视优化市场竞争机制,提高运作效率。
Research on the game problem of agricultural biomass power supply chain under incomplete information situation can provide useful reference for improving the stability of supply chain operation.Based on the Cournot model,an incomplete information non-cooperative game model of agricultural biomass power supply chain was established to analyze the strategy selection and equilibrium supply quantity of each participant under different game conditions.The empirical results show that cost information asymmetry will lead to the fluctuation of equilibrium supply of agricultural biomass power generation raw materials,the choice of contract type by game participants will interfere with the expected supply of agricultural biomass power generation raw materials,and the probability of occurrence of high-cost professional brokers is negatively correlated with the expected supply of agricultural biomass power generation raw materials.In view of this,in order to realize the efficient operation of agricultural biomass power generation raw material supply chain under balanced supply,information sharing center should be established,information asymmetry should be alleviated,contract mechanism should be improved to ensure the stability and effectiveness of supply,and market competition mechanism should be optimized to improve operation efficiency.
作者
张晟义
张杰
陈明月
王童
ZHANG Sheng-yi;ZHANG Jie;CHEN Ming-yue;WANG Tong(School of Business Administration,Xin Jiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)
出处
《河南科技大学学报（社会科学版）》
2021年第4期35-42,共8页
Journal of Henan University of Science & Technology(Social science)
基金
国家自然科学基金(71362032)
教育部人文社科规划基金项目(022017001170)
新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目(XJUFE2020K033)。
关键词
农业生物质发电原料
供应链
不完全信息非合作博弈
the raw materials of agricultural biomass power generation
supply chain
game based on non-cooperative under incomplete information
作者简介
张晟义(1971—),男,浙江东阳人,教授,博士,主要从事物流与供应链、运营管理研究;张杰(1993—),男,河南林州人,硕士生,主要从事物流与供应链管理研究。
