摘要
受长三角地区退养力度加大、生猪产能下滑、城市拆迁等因素影响,上海市畜禽养殖量下降明显,导致市场对饲料需求下降,同时受国际贸易形势变化的影响,部分原材料大幅度涨价。2019年上海市的饲料总产量与总产值较2018年均有所下降,其中浓缩饲料、添加剂预混合饲料产量降幅较大,但饲料添加剂和混合型饲料添加剂产量呈上升趋势;受非洲猪瘟疫情影响,饲料生产企业经营结构调整加快,饲料生产主要表现为“猪降禽涨”趋势;新冠肺炎疫情暴发导致2020年上半年企业复工复产受到影响,预计饲料产量会有小幅下降,但宠物饲料和饲料添加剂产量仍可保持增长趋势,整体发展势头良好。未来,企业应根据市场需求、行业政策和区域优势主动调整品种结构,转变发展战略,以适应新形势。
Under the influence of the increase of poultry farms withdrawing,declining pig production capacity,urban demolition and other factors in the Yangtze River Delta region,the amount of livestock and poultry breeding in Shanghai has dropped significantly,resulting in a decline in market demand for feed,and some raw material prices have increased due to the international trade situation.In 2019,total output and total output value of feed in Shanghai both decreased compared with 2018,among them,the output of concentrated feed and additive pre-mixed feed has decreased greatly,but the output of feed additives and mixed feed additives is on the rise.Affected by the African swine fever epidemic,the management structure adjustment of feed production enterprises has been accelerated,and feed production is mainly represented by the trend of pig feed decrease and poultry feed increase.Due to the outbreak of COVID-19,in the first half of 2020 the resumption of work and production has been affected,and the feed output is expected to decline slightly,but the output of pet feed and feed additives can still maintain a growth trend and a good overall development momentum.In the future,enterprises should actively adjust the variety structure and change the development strategy according to the market demand,industry policy and regional advantages to adapt to the new situation.
作者
张亦菲
黄家莺
张浩然
何麒麟
Zhang Yifei;Huang Jiaying;Zhang Haoran;He Qilin(Shanghai Municipal Supervisory Institute of Veterinary Drugs and Feed,Shanghai 201103;Shanghai Municipal Agricultural Science&Technology Service Center,Shanghai 200335)
出处
《农业展望》
2021年第1期72-76,共5页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
饲料
饲料添加剂
产业发展
展望
feed
feed additive
industrial development
outlook
作者简介
张亦菲,E-mail:491445009@qq.com;通信作者:何麒麟,E-mail:zjzx7793@163.com。
