摘要
全球气候治理机制并非线性连续发展,而是一种停滞与跃升交替出现的间断平衡模式,其中,对治理现状不满的领导者是气候治理不断突破发展的动力。欧盟在全球气候治理中始终致力于扮演领导者角色,面对后巴黎时代全球治理的疲软,自2019年底开始通过包括《欧洲绿色协议》、资金保障计划、碳边境税等在内的措施,试图重塑自身领导力,即使2020年新冠肺炎爆发后,欧盟仍持续加强并深化重塑行动的影响力与效果。但疫情作为重大变量仍然导致气候谈判更加复杂且不确定性增强,也令欧盟很难重返《巴黎协定》时期的巅峰状态。同时鉴于中国应对疫情的有力表现与2060年实现"碳中和"的承诺,以及美国大选局势明朗化,分析得出中美欧三方共同合作领导全球气候治理将成为后疫情时代最可能的现实选择。
The global climate governance mechanism is not a linear continuum,but an intermittent equilibrium pattern of stagnation and leapfrogging,in which leaders dissatisfied with the status quo are the driving force behind the breakthroughs in climate governance.The European Union has always been committed to playing a leading role in global climate governance.Facing weak global governance in the post-Paris era,EU has been attempting to reinvigorate its leadership through measures including the European Green Deal,financial guarantee scheme,carbon border tax since the end of 2019,and has continued to strengthen and deepen the impact and effectiveness of its reinvention actions even after the outbreak of new coronary pneumonia in 2020.However,the epidemic remains a significant variable that makes climate negotiations more complex and uncertain,and makes it difficult for EU to return to the peak state of the Paris Agreement.At the same time,given China’s effective countermeasures against the epidemic and its commitment to achieve"carbon neutrality"by 2060,as well as the clarity of the U.S.election,the paper concluded that a tripartite cooperation and leadership in global climate governance will be the most feasible and realistic option in the post COVID-19 era.
作者
寇静娜
张锐
KOU Jing-na;ZHANG Rui(不详)
出处
《中国地质大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2021年第1期87-104,共18页
Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“中国可再生能源的战略困境与转型发展研究”(17CGJ024)。
关键词
气候治理
疫情
欧盟
《欧洲绿色协议》
碳中和
climate governance
COVID-19
EU
European Green Deal
carbon neutrality
作者简介
寇静娜,法学博士太原理工大学经济管理学院副教授,中国人民大学欧洲问题研究中心研究员.kcoco222@163.com(山西太原030024);张锐,法学博士,全球能源互联网发展合作组织经济技术研究院研究员(北京100052)。
