摘要
以2014年被商务部等列入《电子商务进农村综合示范县名单》的8省试点县为研究对象,采用2006—2016年8省426个县域的面板数据,利用PSM-DID方法研究国家级电子商务进农村综合示范县的设立对县域经济发展的作用,并从产业多样化、财政拉动、金融支撑、基础设施、人力资本五个方面分析国家级电子商务进农村综合示范县的政策效应。研究发现电子商务进农村综合示范县政策能显著推动县域经济增长,且具有正向财政拉动效应、金融支撑效应、基础设施效应;政策能够持续促进产业结构高级化,推动县域经济朝着服务化方向发展,但产业多样化效应存在一定滞后期;另外,政策存在负向人力资本效应。依据实证分析结果,建议国家可继续推进电商示范县政策,积极突破前期产业结构高级化的制约条件,加大对农村电商的培训力度和示范县的监管力度,极大释放电商示范县的典型带动效应。
Taking 8 pilot provinces listed in The List of E-commerce into Rural Comprehensive Demonstration Counties by the Ministry of Commerce for the first time in 2014 as research object,using panel data of 426 counties in 8 provinces from 2006 to 2016 and PSM-DID method,this paper studies promotion effect of establishment of national e-commerce into rural comprehensive demonstration counties on economic development of counties,and analyzes policy effect of national e-commerce into rural comprehensive demonstration county from industrial diversification effect,financial pull effect,financial support effect,infrastructure effect,and human capital effect.It finds that the policy of e-commerce entering rural comprehensive demonstration counties significantly promotes the county economic growth,and has positive fiscal pull effect,financial support effect and infrastructure effect.The policy can continuously promote the upgrading of industrial structure and promote the county economy to develop towards“service-oriented”,but the industrial diversification effect has a certain lag.In addition,the policy has negative human resources effect.According to the results of empirical analysis,it's continuously to promote policies in the future,actively break through constraints of advanced industrial structure in the early stage,increase rural e-commerce training,strengthen the supervision of demonstration counties,and greatly release typical driving effect of e-commerce demonstration counties.
作者
唐红涛
罗琼
TANG Hongtao;LUO Qiong(School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University of Technology and Business, Changsha 410205, China)
出处
《南京财经大学学报》
2019年第6期42-53,共12页
Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目“连片特困区农村流通产业发展的减贫效应研究”(17AJY021)
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“电商减贫机理及效应研究”(19FJYB033)
湖南省教育厅科学研究重点项目“乡村振兴战略下湖南省电商扶贫效率测度及空间溢出研究”(18A299)
湖南省研究生科研创新项目“电商扶贫空间效应:机理、测度及效率”(CX2018B753)
作者简介
唐红涛(1977—),男,湖南衡阳人,湖南工商大学经济与贸易学院教授,博士,研究方向为商贸流通、电子商务;罗琼(1996—),女,湖南衡阳人,湖南工商大学经济与贸易学院硕士研究生,研究方向为产业经济、电子商务。
