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基于供应链金融违约风险的保理决策收益模型仿真 被引量:7

Model simulation of factoring strategies and profit based on default risk in supply chain finance
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摘要 为分析供应链上、下游企业以及保理商等主体在参与应收账款保理时的最佳决策,在报童模型基础上,建立市场需求随机波动情景下供应链上游企业、下游企业和保理商期望收益模型,在模型中引入下游企业违约风险,并对模型进行数值仿真。研究结果表明,供应链上游企业和下游企业可在保理情况下分别制定最优批发价格决策和最优订货数量决策,使得双方收益均超过不保理情况下的水平。当下游企业违约风险相对较小时,采取保理可以提高供应链上下游企业各自的期望利润,同时降低批发价格,提高订货量。保理商选择的最优保理费率则随着下游企业违约风险的增加而提高。 To raise the best strategies of the upstream and downstream enterprises in supply chain as well as the factor,this paper established expected profit model of the upstream and downstream enterprises in supply chain and the factor based under the scenario of random fluctuating market demand based on the newsvendor model.It introduced the default risk of the downstream firm into the model and conducted numerical simulation of the model.The result shows that the upstream enterprise can make the best wholesale price strategy and downstream enterprises can choose the best order quantity strategy when adopting factoring to enable both parties to achieve better profit than that without adopting factoring.When the default risk of the downstream enterprise is relatively low,adopting factoring can raise the profit of upstream enterprise as well as downstream enterprise in the supply chain,reducing the wholesale price and increasing the order quantity.The best factoring rate strategy of the factor rises with the increase of the default risk of the downstream enterprise.
作者 李苜 董明 张钦红 Li Mu;Dong Ming;Zhang Qinhong(Antai College of Economics&Management,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200030,China;Sino-US Global Logistics Institute,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai 200030,China)
出处 《计算机应用研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第3期737-741,共5页 Application Research of Computers
基金 国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(71632008) 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71371123)
关键词 供应链金融 保理 违约风险 订货量 定价 supply chain finance factoring default risk order quantity pricing
作者简介 李苜(1992-),女,江苏徐州人,硕士研究生,主要研究方向为供应链管理、供应链金融(limupannie@sjtu.edu.cn);董明(1969-),男,河南郑州人,教授,博导,博士,主要研究方向为物流与供应链管理、服务运作管理等;;张钦红(1981-),男,安徽太和人,副研究员,博士,主要研究方向为供应链金融.
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