摘要
目前国内众筹项目普遍采用"All or Nothing"的融资规则,项目发起人只有在成功融资时才能得到资金,使得项目融资失败的时间成本较大,对众筹项目结果进行预测研究具有重要意义。通过采集追梦网众筹平台的项目数据,运用BP神经网络对采集的928个有效样本进行了预测,研究结果发现预测准确率为81.58%,预测结果较为理想,有助于项目发起人预测众筹项目的融资结果。
At present,crowdfundingprojects generally adopt the"all or nothing"financing rules,and the project sponsors can obtain fundsonly when crowdfundingprojects financing succeed,which make the time cost of the project financing failure is large.So it is of great significance to predict the results of the financing of crowdfunding projects.In this paper,by collecting the crowdfundingprojects data of the platform,the BP neural network is used to predict the 928 effective samples,and the results show that the prediction accuracy is 81.58%and the prediction result isperfect,which can help the project sponsors to predict the financing result of the projects.
作者
陈肖华
李元亨
CHEN Xiao-hua(School of Information,Central University of Finance and Economics,Beijing 100081,China)
出处
《科技创业月刊》
2017年第23期31-33,共3页
Journal of Entrepreneurship in Science & Technology
关键词
众筹
融资结果
预测
BP神经网络
crowdfunding
the result of financing
forecast
BP neural network
作者简介
陈肖华(1993-),男,中央财经大学信息学院硕士研究生,研究方向:互联网金融、众筹;;李元亨(1994-),男,中央财经大学信息学院硕士研究生,研究方向:互联网金融。
