摘要
文章从旅游交通需求特点出发,采用拓展的"四阶段法"进行交通客流预测。即采用增长率法对诱增交通量进行预测;按照出行目的对旅游景区内和旅游景区间的交通分布分别建模;根据旅游交通方式的多样性,将交通量分配到旅游景区周边的道路网上,得到平日高峰时段和节假日高峰时段的交通流分配情况。该预测方法可以为旅游景区和道路规划决策者提供理论支持,提高景区周边道路服务水平。
Based on the characteristics of tourism traffic demand,this paper adopts the four-stage method to predict trafficflow.The growth rate method is used to predict the traffic volume.To model the traffic distribution of tourist scenic spots andtourist areas according to the purpose of travel;According to the diversity of tourist traffic patterns,the traffic flow isallocated to the road network around the tourist scenic area,and the traffic flow distribution is obtained during peak hours andduring peak holidays.The prediction method can provide theoretical support for tourism scenic spots and road planningdecision makers,and improve the service level of surrounding road.
作者
蔺钦
刘云霞
Lin Qin;Liu Yunxia(School of automobile university of chang'an university, Shaanxi Xi'an 710064)
出处
《汽车实用技术》
2017年第19期206-208,共3页
Automobile Applied Technology
关键词
客流预测
四阶段法
旅游交通
passenger flow forecast
four-stage method
tourist traffic
作者简介
蔺钦（1994-），女，硕士研究生，就读于长安大学汽车学院，交通运输工程专业
