摘要
二战后,泰国、英国和日本在美国主导的同盟框架下实施对美国的追随政策,三者之间呈现出不同的特性。相较于英国与美国的特殊关系以及日本对美国的全面追随政策,泰国对美国在20世纪70年代由全面追随转变为有限追随。本文融合层次分析法和追随理论,从追随概念中提取威胁、利益和决策者认知三个要素,对应体系、国家与个人三个层次,构建追随理论分析框架。在对英国、日本和泰国对美国追随政策做简要对比分析的基础上,结合追随理论分析框架着重分析泰国对美国有限追随政策的形成动因及其影响。
After World War Ⅱ, Thailand, Britain and Japan launched a bandwagon policy to America in the USA-led alliance framework. As opposed to either the special relationship between Britain and USA or Japan's comprehensive bandwagon policy to USA, Thailand's bandwagon policy towards America has evolved into limited bandwagon by the 1970s from comprehensive Bandwagon. What is the causes for the formation of Thailand's policy of limited bandwagon to the USA?. In this paper, the analytical framework of bandwagon theory is constructed to answer this question by combining the hierarchical analysis method and elements in bandwagon theory. Specifically, this framework integrates three mechanisms--threats, interests and decision-makers' cognition, which correspond to the system, the country and the individual level of analysis respectively. On the basis of a brief comparative analysis of the characteristics of the bandwagon policies of Britain, Japan and Thailand to USA, the author explores both causes and impacts of Thailand's limited Bandwagon policy to USA.
作者
杨鲁慧
李彩军
Yang Luhui;Li Caijun
出处
《国际观察》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第5期95-110,共16页
International Review
基金
教育部人文社科研究专项任务项目“新时代中国周边外交与命运共同体建设研究”(项目编号:18jf104)的阶段性成果
关键词
追随理论
同盟关系
有限追随
分析层次
Theory of Bandwagoning
Alliance Relationships
Limited Bandwagon
Level of Analysis
作者简介
杨鲁慧,山东大学亚太研究所教授,博士,济南,250100;李彩军,山东大学政治学与公共管理学院硕士研究生,济南,250100