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我国煤炭价格走势及其影响因素实证分析 被引量:12

The trend of china coal prices and empirical analysis of its influencing factors
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摘要 煤炭作为我国重要能源之一,其价格受经济水平、资源禀赋、发展阶段等诸多因素的影响,随着煤炭行业的供给侧改革,对其价格影响因素的探讨成为煤炭市场研究的热点。本文首先分析了我国煤炭价格的整体走势,并从理论上对煤炭价格的影响因素进行了分析,然后采用灰色综合评价法进行了实证分析,并通过灰色聚类得出市场内部供需方面和市场外部方面两大类影响因素,研究发现我国煤炭价格以市场机制调节为主,且受经济增速影响较大。最后为我国煤炭行业供给侧改革和煤炭行业的发展提出了政策建议。 As one of the important energy in our country, coal prices were affected by economy, resources endowment, stages of development, and many other factors. With the reforming of the supply side of coal industry, studying on the influence factors of coal market price becomes one of the research hot spot. Firstly, the trend of china coal prices is analyzed and the influence factors of coal prices are analyzed theoreti- cally in this article. Secondly, the grey comprehensive evaluation method is used for the empirical analysis of the influence factors. Through the grey clustering, it is concluded that there are two kinds of influence factors, internal aspects of supply & demand and external market influence factors. Therefore, coal prices in China are adjusted by market mechanism preferentially , and greatly influenced by economic growth. Lastly, put forward policy suggestions for the supply side reforming and development of the coal industry.
出处 《价格理论与实践》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第6期114-117,共4页 Price:Theory & Practice
基金 吉林省教育厅"十二五"社会科学研究重点项目<提升吉林省战略性新兴产业竞争力对策研究>(吉教科文合字[2013]第91号) 东北电力大学软科学及人文社会科学专项资助项目<区域战略性新兴产业竞争力评价研究>资助
关键词 煤炭价格 供给侧改革 压缩煤炭产能 灰色综合评价法 Coal prices Supply side reforming Compressed coal capacity Grey comprehensive evaluation method
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