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基于Gibbs抽样法的边际密度估计 被引量:3

Gibbs Sampling-Based Approaches in Estimating Marginal Densities
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摘要 证明利用 Gibbs抽样法从后验分布 p(· |y)产生的 Markov链转移核有不变概率测度 p(· |y) .利用Gibbs抽样法、Monte Carlo积分和条件概率公式相结合的方法对多元分布的边际密度进行了估计 ,并且证明了在一定条件下所得的边际密度估计几乎处处收敛到真实的边际密度 . A proof was given that a Markov transition kernal from posterior distribution p(·|y) by Gibbs sampling has an invariant distribution p(·|y) . To estimate the marginal densities of multidimensional distribution, Gibbs sampler in conjunction with Monte Carlo inte gration and conditional probability formula was used. Under some conditions, the estimated marginal densities almost converge to the true marginal densities everywhere. Two examples were given to illustrate this result.
出处 《北京理工大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第1期16-19,共4页 Transactions of Beijing Institute of Technology
关键词 Gibbs抽样法 正条件 MONTE Carlo积分 边际密度估计 MARKOV链 转移核 不变概率测度 Gibbs sampler positivity condition Monte Carlo integration
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  • 1吕庆喆,言方荣,林金官.两种时间序列孤立点挖掘方法的比较[J].统计研究,2005,22(1):51-54. 被引量:5
  • 2Geman,S.and Geman,D.,stochastical relaxation,Gibbs distributions and the Beyesian restoration of images[J].IEEE Trans.Pattn.Anal.Mach.Intel,1984,(6):721-741
  • 3Chou Pin-Huang.A Gibbs sampling approach to the estimation of linear regression models under daily price limits[J].Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,1997,(5):39-62.
  • 4Mohamed T.Madi,Bayesian inference for partially accelerated life tests using Gibbs sampling[J].Microelectron.Reliab,1997,37(8):1165-1168.
  • 5Fox A J. Outliers in time series[J]. J Roy Statist Soc B,1972,48:39 -47.
  • 6Abraham B, Box G E P. Bayesian analysis of some outlier Problems in time series[ J ]. Biometrika, 1979,66:229 - 236.

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