摘要
本文采用周期外推法预报用水峰时,采用回归计算和增水峰连线外延相结合的方法预报峰值。然后以此模拟增水曲线,对台风在预报区内任一位置24小时之内的增水进行过程预报,效果较好。
In this paper, the period extrapolation is used to forecast the time when the rise of level of sea water reaches its crests, and the regression method together with the extrapolation method of line of the crests is used to forecast future crests.
Then, by simulating the curves of the rise of level of sea water, the prediction on tropical cyclone-induced rise of level of sea water in predicted areas within 24 hours is realized.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
1991年第3期12-19,共8页
Marine Forecasts
