摘要
2013年在供应充足、市场需求低迷、进口利润丰厚及国家临储收购政策等因素的共同影响下,国内玉米价格呈现稳中偏弱走势。展望2014年,中国玉米市场仍处于供大于求的市场格局,但受国家临储收购政策影响,玉米市场流通量减少将使得玉米价格易涨难跌,甚至可能导致玉米阶段性供求偏紧局面出现,从而出现阶段性价格上涨行情。
Under the combined effects of adequate supply, low market demand, high profits of imports, temporary storage acquisition policy and other factors, China's maize price was weak and stable in 2013. Forecasting 2014, maize market will still be oversupply in China, but reduction in maize market liquidity, affected by the temporary storage acquisition policy, will make maize price go up easily and go down difficultly, and may even lead to periodically tight supply and demand situation, thus maize price may show phased raise trend.
出处
《农业展望》
2014年第2期9-13,18,共6页
Agricultural Outlook
关键词
玉米
供需
临储
进口
maize
supply and demand
temporary storage
import
作者简介
谌琴(1985一),女,江西上高人,硕士,研究方向为粮油市场分析与预测。E-mail:w3feeling@163.com
通信作者高笑天(1979一),男,辽宁盘锦人,硕士,中级经济师,研究方向为粮油市场分析与预测。E-mail:gaoxt@grain.gov.cn