摘要
以杭州市区民用汽车保有量的预测为案例,采用两种不同的方法——弹性系数法和回归分析法,对其增长情况进行了预测,并采用统计值对模型预测结果进行了验证。结果表明,两种预测方法均有一定的可靠度,且弹性系数法的预测结果更为精准。
Taking the prediction of Hangzhou civil motor vehicles quantity for the case, using two different methods-elastic coefficient method and regression analysis method, predicted its growth situations, and verified the model predicted results using statistical value, the results showed that, the two kinds of prediction method had certain reliability, and the prediction results of elastic coefficient methods was more accurate.
出处
《山西建筑》
2013年第5期199-201,共3页
Shanxi Architecture
关键词
弹性系数法
回归分析法
民用汽车保有量
elastic coefficient method, regression analysis method, civil motor vehicles quantity
作者简介
薛佳平(1985-),女,助教
张黎丽(1986-),女,助理工程师