摘要
单个企业财务困境的形成机制已有大量研究,供应链环境下的财务困境形成机制的研究目前还较少。供应链成员企业间因运作的密切联系和利益的相关性,一个成员企业的财务状况不仅取决于其本身的运营,还取决于其上下游企业的运营和财务状态。本文研究简单结构下成员企业间的协作方式对其财务困境形成及传递的影响。对于由供应商、生产商、分销商和零售商组成的四阶段供应链,本文应用多智能体仿真来分析在(s,S)库存策略和VMI协作方式下供应链成员企业财务状态的变动规律。研究发现:供应链成员企业在(s,S)策略方式下比在VMI协作方式下更易发生财务困境。在(s,S)策略方式下,供应链成员企业的财务困境具有双向传递的特性;而在VMI协作方式下,财务困境几乎不具有传递性。论文还通过参数灵敏度分析研究了财务困境发生和传递过程中供应链协作参数的影响。
Financial distress has been extensively investigated without considering the interaction with other enterprises. In the supply chain environment, this kind of research is rare. Because of the close interrelation on operations and bene- fit relevance among the member enterprises of a supply chain, the financial status of a member enterprise depends not only on its own operations, but also on its upstream and downstream enterprise＇ s operation and financial conditions. In this paper, the formation and propagation of financial distress along a supply chain under different collaboration mecha- nism is investigated. With the application of a multi-agent simulation technology, changes of the financial states of mem- ber enterprises under the （s,S） inventory strategy and VMI are analyzed for a four-stage supply chain, which is com- posed of one supplier, manufacturer, distributor and retailer. Research results show that member enterprises under （s,S） strategy are more inclined to have financial distress than under VM1. Under （s,S） strategy, the financial distress of member enterprises can propagate upward or downward along the supply chain. While this financial distress propaga- tion rarely occurs under VMI. Sensitivity analyses on supply chain parameters further illustrate the impact of collabora- tion mechanism on the financial distress of the supply chain.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期52-56,共5页
Forecasting
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71001094
71101135)
