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基于Logistic模型的失地农民土地征收意愿影响因素研究 被引量:38

Research on the Affecting Factors of Landless Farmers’Land Acquisition Will Based on Logistic Model
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摘要 通过对武汉市洪山区、江夏区、新洲区和东西湖区4区城乡结合部的28村近5年被征地的251户样本农户进行结构式访谈获取到失地农民征地意愿相关信息的第一手资料,以便了解武汉市城乡结合部失地农民的征地意愿并定量分析其征地意愿的影响因素。并主要采用二元Logistic回归模型对失地农民征地意愿的影响因素进行分析,发现:征地意愿主要与农户家庭征地前对耕地的依赖度、对征地前家庭居住条件的满意度、征地补偿合理性、征地对家庭经济的影响、征地对就业的影响等5个变量有关,其中前两个变量均对征地意愿有负影响,后三个变量对征地意愿有正面影响。应进一步提高失地农民的补偿标准,采用更合理的补偿方式;尽可能降低征地对当地农村环境造成的污染或破坏;改善就业创业环境,引导失地农民走向可持续生计的道路,使其失地后生活水平仍能随着经济发展而逐渐提高。 The process of urbanization has a broad and deep impact on farmers who live in the urban-rural area, and land acquisition is a necessary part of the process of urbanization. Therefore, it is necessary for us to study the farmers' land acquisition will and the factors that affect the will. As a metropolis of the middle region and the core city of the Wuhan City Circle, Wuhan plays an important role in boosting the development of the entire middle region as well as Wuhan City Circle. Therefore, we have selected Wuhan as the representative area of our research. The related data about land acquisition in this paper are obtained through structured interviews of 251 sample farmers who come from 28 villages in the urban-rural areas of Hongshan District, Jiangxia District, Xinzhou District, and Dongxihu District of Wuhan city and their lands have been expropriated in recent five years. The land acquisition will can be divided into the will of the overall land acquisition, the will of land acquisition proportion and the will of land acquisition purposes. In this paper, we analyzed the influencing factors of landless farmers' land acquisition will mainly using binary logistic regression model . The result indicates that the top five factors affecting farmers' land acquisition willingness are degree of dependence on arable land before land acquisition, satisfaction of the families' living conditions before land acquisition, the rationality of land acquisition compensation, the impact of land acquisition on the family economy and the impact of land acquisition on employment. The first two variables have negative impacts on the land acquisition will, while the other variables have positive impacts. In order to carry out land acquisition smoothly, the local government ought to further improve the standard of compensation for landless farmers, take a more reasonable compensation method and minimize the contamination or damage on the local rural environment as far as possible. To maintain the living standards of landless farmers, the local government should improve the employment and entrepreneurship environment and guide the farmers towards the path of sustainable livelihoods.
出处 《资源科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第8期1484-1492,共9页 Resources Science
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71003041/G0305)
关键词 失地农民 征地意愿 补偿 LOGISTIC模型 武汉市 Landless farmers Land acquisition will Compensation Logistic model Wuhan City
作者简介 郭玲霞,女,山西长治人,博士生,研究方向为土地经济学、土地资源评价。E-mail:purplelily66@yahoo.cn 通讯作者:彭开丽,E-mail:klpeng@mail.hzau.edu.cn
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