摘要
概率表达着世界的可能性。近年来研究发现,人们倾向于在更抽象的和更核心的水平上表征低概率事件,而倾向于在更具体和更次要的水平上表征高概率事件。相应的,高水平表征事物会导致人们的概率估计偏低,而低水平表征事物会导致概率估计偏高。此外,习得的刺激间联系也会影响人们的概率估计。未来研究应注意探讨概率影响事物表征的内在原因、概率估计的动态性与多重概率估计、以及其更深层次的内部机制等问题。
Probability is an expression of uncertainty. Recent research found that likely events are tend to represent by their abstract and essential features, whereas unlikely events are tent to represent by their concrete and incidental features. In corresponding, activating abstract construals will reduce the probability estimates of the events, whereas concrete representations will increase the probability estimates. Moreover, the predictive relation between cue and outcome in the training period can also affect the probability estimates Future research should investigate why probability can affect the construal level of events, the adjustment of raw value and the combinatorial probability estimates, and the inner mechanism of these phenomenon.
出处
《心理科学进展》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第1期65-74,共10页
Advances in Psychological Science
基金
江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划(CXZZ11_0852)资助
南京师范大学研究生科研创新计划资助
关键词
概率
表征
心理距离
心理建构
决策
probability
representation
mental distance
mental construal
decision making
作者简介
通讯作者：刘昌，E-mail：cglew@163．com
