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杨小舟蛾短期预测预报研究 被引量:11

Study on Shortern Forecast of Micromelopha troglodyta
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摘要 This paper deals with the bionomics of Micromelopha troglodyta .The pest has 2 generations a year and overwinters in pupa in the fallen leaves.In the food lack condition,the last instar larvae is compelled to pupate in advance,the mass of the pupa is much lighter than that of normal pupa.If the mass of the pupa is below 90 mg,it can not emerge.The mathematical model between the probability of the female and the pupa mass is Y i =-6.22+3.256 log X i .The mathematical model between amount of the female eggs and the pupa mass is Y i′ =-1 886.3+1 014.4 log X i .Applying these mathematical models,we can forecast the population dynamics of M.troglodyta. This paper deals with the bionomics of Micromelopha troglodyta .The pest has 2 generations a year and overwinters in pupa in the fallen leaves.In the food lack condition,the last instar larvae is compelled to pupate in advance,the mass of the pupa is much lighter than that of normal pupa.If the mass of the pupa is below 90 mg,it can not emerge.The mathematical model between the probability of the female and the pupa mass is Y i =-6.22+3.256 log X i .The mathematical model between amount of the female eggs and the pupa mass is Y i′ =-1 886.3+1 014.4 log X i .Applying these mathematical models,we can forecast the population dynamics of M.troglodyta.
出处 《林业科学研究》 CSCD 北大核心 1999年第6期669-672,共4页 Forest Research
基金 吉林省林业厅项目
关键词 杨小舟蛾 杨树 预测预报 数学模型 Micromelopha troglodyta Populus forecast mathematical models
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参考文献4

  • 1王福维,牛延章,侯丽伟,皮忠庆,王景辉,陈域横.分月扇舟蛾生物学特性及其防治研究[J].林业科学研究,1998,11(3):325-329. 被引量:14
  • 2北京林学院.数理统计[M].北京:中国林业出版社,1983.224-225.
  • 3萧刚柔,中国森林昆虫(第2版),1992年,1027页
  • 4北京林学院,数理统计,1983年,224页

二级参考文献2

  • 1田丰,森林病虫通讯,1993年,2期,8页
  • 2萧刚柔,中国森林昆虫(第2版),1992年,1018页

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