摘要
在油气田产量预测中，已相继出现了众多的预测模型。这些模型是相互分散的、孤立的，种类多、公式繁杂，相互间的联系又不清楚，使油气田现场研究人员难于准确应用。文中对前人在生命总量有限体系等领域的研究成果进行系统的研究，经过理论推导、综合和归纳，得到了预测油气田产量的广义模型。该广义模型通过选取不同的模型常数，进行模型简化，可以得到经济增长预测领域著名的Ｇｏｍｐｅｒｔｚ模型、社会各个领域广泛应用的Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ模型、油气田产量预测的Ａｒｐｓ双曲线递减模型、Г模型及ＨＣＺ模型等在各类生命总量有限体系广泛应用的１２个预测模型，它们基本上覆盖了生命总量有限体系常用的预测模型。从而将生命总量有限体系分散的、孤立的预测模型有机地结合起来。同时，本广义模型亦可直接应用于油气田的产量预测之中。
Many mathematic models have been applied to forecasting production rate and cumulation of oil and gas reservoir.It is difficult for oil engineers to use the models correctly because these formulae are miscellaneous,isolated each other,and have no any relationship among them.This paper presents a generalized model of forecasting production rate of oil and gas reservoirs.The model was deduced analytically and inductively based on life limit system theory.By the way,the widely used twelve models in life limit system theory can be obtained by selecting reasonable constant of the model.The simplified twelve models include famous economic increasing Gompertz model,Logistic Model widely used in society field,Arps hyperbolic decline model in petroleum engineering,Gamma Model and HCZ Model which covered the common branch of life limit system theory.
出处
《石油学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1999年第1期61-66,共6页
Acta Petrolei Sinica
关键词
油气藏动态
可采储量
产量预测
模型
储量
reservoir performance
recoverable reserves
production rate prediction
model
