摘要
现在大多数科学家承认近百年全球气候确实是变暖了,中国的观测证据也表明近百年中国气候变暖的事实。中国气候变暖与全球气候变暖基本同步,中国是世界上变暖较为激烈的地区之一,但有其自己的特点。由于人类活动造成的大气中温室气体将继续增加,与全球一样,中国未来气候变化趋势仍是变暖,而且变暖速率将继续增加,但不排除在某一个月或季在某一个地区出现明显的低温,但后者主要与自然气候变化有关。
Presently, the majority of scientists confirm that the global climate has warmed over the past century. China's observations and data have proven that China's climate has also been warming in the same period. China's climate change is consistent with the overall global warming. Though it is one of the areas in the world where global warming is more severe, it also has its own characteristics. Human activities have caused the amount of greenhouse gases to continue to rise. Like the rest of the world, therefore, the trend is that China's climate will continue to warm. Additionally, the speed of warming will be accelerated. Nonetheless, this does not exclude the possibility that at a certain point and in a certain region there will be significant temperature drops, which will likely be related to natural climate change.
出处
《国际政治研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第4期1-11,共11页
The Journal of International Studies
作者简介
王绍武：北京大学物理学院大气科学系教授（邮编：100871）；
赵宗慈：中国气象局国家气候中心研究员（邮编：100081）；
唐国利：中国气象局国家气候中心副研究员（邮编：100081）。
