摘要
以流域的水生态环境与社会经济协调发展为目标,采用系统动力学和隶属度相结合的方法,建立了流域水生态承载力的系统动力学仿真模型。以新疆叶尔羌河流域为例,设计了9个模拟方案,对其水生态承载力进行了量化分析,确定了叶尔羌河流域的最优发展方案,并提出了提高叶尔羌河流域水生态承载力的具体措施,为流域可持续发展战略的实施提供科学依据。
With the coordinated development of water eco-environment and socio-economy of the basin as the objective, a system dynamics simulation model for basin water ecological carrying capacity is established using the combination method of systematic dynamics with membership degree. Taking Yarkant River basin in Xinjiang for example, 9 different programs are designed, and then the water ecological carrying capacity of each program is analyzed quantitatively. Finally, the optimization scheme is confirmed, and the specific measures for improving the water ecological carrying capacity of Yarkant River basin are suggested, whereby which providing the scientific basis for the implementation of the sustainable development strategy.
出处
《西安理工大学学报》
CAS
北大核心
2009年第3期249-255,共7页
Journal of Xi'an University of Technology
基金
国家重大水专项研究资助项目(2008ZX07526-004-T005)
国家自然科学基金资助项目(50079022)
关键词
指标体系
系统动力学
水生态承载力
index system
system dynamics
water ecological carrying capacity
作者简介
李靖（1982-），女，吉林长春人，博士生，研究方向为水环境承载力与水污染控制。E-mail：ljing_d@126．com。
周孝德（1960-）男，江西玉山人，教授，博导，博士，研究方向为水污染控制原理与技术及水力学。E-mail：zhouxd@mail．xaut．edu．cn。
