摘要
西蒙·库兹涅茨"倒U假说"已不仅被应用到增长与分配的关系问题上,而且还被扩展应用,提出了第二产业的产值比重和劳动力比重的倒U曲线、区域经济发展的倒U曲线、社会问题倒U曲线以及环境污染的倒U曲线。本文以这一假说作为分析工具,研究6千美元阶段浙江这5个"倒U形曲线"拐点状况。在翔实数据分析基础上,我们发现浙江6千美元阶段除区域差距已经出现"倒U形曲线"拐点外,其余4个"倒U形曲线"拐点仍还未出现。也就是说,理想的成熟的发展状态并没有在人们的期待中成为现实。本文认为,那种认为只要经济搞上去了,社会问题、收入不平等、生态环境等"先恶化、后改善"状况就会出现是不可能的。需要加大社会调节力度,完善市场经济体制,健全社会公平制度,维护社会正义秩序,才能出现人们所期待的"倒U形曲线"拐点。
Kuznets curve has not only been applied to analyze the issues of relationship between growth and distribution,but also expanded to the curves of the proportion of secondary industry and human resource,regional economic development,social problem and environmental pollution. This paper studies the characteristics of Kuznets curves’ inflection points during stage of 6000 dollars in Zhejiang Province. In the basis of detailed and accurate data analysis,we only find the fact that the inflection of ‘curve’ of regional economic development appears,and the other four ‘curves’ are still yet to come. In other words,the ideal situation has not become a reality. This paper indicates that it is impossible to achieve ‘to improve after deterioration’ in the issues of social problem,income inequality and ecological environment after the development of economy. We have to strengthen social adjustment,improve the market economy system,perfect the system of social justice,safeguard the order of social justice,then the curve’s inflection point would present.
出处
《浙江社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第7期32-37,14,共7页
Zhejiang Social Sciences
关键词
倒U形曲线
拐点
收入分配
环境
社会问题
Kuznets Curve,Inflexion,Income Distribution,Environment,Social Problem
作者简介
杨建华，浙江社科院经济社会发展研究中心研究员。（杭州310025）
