上海财经大学上海市消费者信心指数编制研究被引量：15

Research on Compilation of Consumer Sentiment Index of Shanghai by SUFE

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摘要消费者信心指数已成为许多国家先行经济指标的组成部分,并在经济景气预测中发挥了重要的作用。本文首先探讨了编制消费者信心指数的理论基础;然后对国际上几个具有代表性的消费者信心指数的编制方法进行了比较研究;接着介绍了上海财经大学上海市消费者消费者信心指数的编制,并对已取得的调查结果进行了实证分析;最后提出了该指数编制中需要进一步研究的若干问题。 Consumer sentiment index （CSI） has been a component of leading economic indicators and plays an important role in economic forecasting in many countries. Firstly, the paper discusses about the theoretical foundation for compiling CSI. Secondly, it makes an comparison among compiling methods of several representative CSI. Thirdly, it introduces the compilation of CSI of Shanghai by SUFE and makes an empirical analysis on survey results. Finally, the paper points out several problems in the compiling process of Shanghai＇s CSI by SUFE.

作者李晓玉常宁陈颖

机构地区上海财经大学统计学系

出处《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》 CSSCI 2008年第5期73-80,共8页 Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics

基金上海财经大学"十一五" "211工程"重点学科平台建设项目国家社科基金项目(05BTJ007) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-04-0429) 上海市重点学科建设项目(B803) 上海财经大学应用统计研究中心资助

关键词消费者信心指数编制消费者调查 consumer sentiment index compilation consumer survey

分类号 F037.3 [经济管理—政治经济学]

作者简介李晓玉（1953-），女，河北蠡县人，上海财经大学统计学系副教授常宁（1973-）．女，陕西西安人，上海财经大学统计学系副教授陈颖（1966-），男，上海人，上海财经大学统计学系副教授。

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参考文献9

1[1]James House,Tom Juster,Robert Kahn and Eleanor Singer.Telescope on Society:Survey Research an Social Science in the 20th and 21st Centuries[A].Richard T.Curtin.Surveys of Consumers:The Intersection of Psychology and Maeroecnomics[C].Ann Arbor,Michigan.University of Michigan Press,2001,1～3.
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5李晓玉.消费者信心指数的理论背景与实际意义[J].统计教育,2006(1):27-29. 被引量：23
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7李晓玉.消费者情绪测度的理论和实践[J].统计与咨询,2008(2):5-7. 被引量：3
8[1]摘自Lawrence Klein:A post-mortem on transition of national product,Journal of political Economy,1946,54(4).
9[2]摘自Richard T.Curtin:The Intersection of Psychology and Macroecnomics,University of Michigan Press,2001:1～3.

二级参考文献3

1Richard T.Curtin. Surveys of Consumers : Theory,Methods,and Interpretation [C].Brooking Papers on Economic Activity,2001,Issue, 175-207.
2Richard T.Curtin. Surveys of Consumers : The Intersection of Psychology and Macroecnomics [M].University of Michigan Press 2001.
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