摘要
房地产投资决策是一种风险型决策,投资者在决策时,需要根据历史资料或个人经验,预测未来房地产的市场状态,估计直接影响经济效益的各种技术经济数据。这种预测和估计往往带有一定的主观性,不能准确反映客观情况,就有可能造成决策失误。以实际问题为背景,运用贝叶斯决策法与期望效益决策法相结合的方法,提出了一种在房地产投资风险决策选择方案的新思路。
Decision-making in Investing to real estate is highly risking. When investors make decisions, they need according to history data or individual experiences to predict the state of real estate market, and estimate the economic data which directly affect the market. The predicting and estimate are always subjective which cannot exactly response the external situation,Makes the decisions wrong. The paper makes a practice instance background, Handling Bayesian method and expectation-benefit measure, bring a new method in making decision to investe estate market.
出处
《工程建设与设计》
2008年第6期112-115,共4页
Construction & Design for Engineering
关键词
房地产
投资决策
贝叶斯
期望效益
the real estate
investment decision
bayes
expect beneficial result
作者简介
王涛（1982-），男，山东青岛人，硕士研究生，从事土木工程建造与管理方面的研究，（电子邮箱）adamren82@163．com。
