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四阶段法交通需求预测的局限与非集计模型的发展 被引量:3

Limits of Four-step Traffic Demand Forecast Model and Development of Disaggregate Model
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摘要 在交通需求预测中,经典的四阶段法广泛应用于实际之中并被大家所认可。但随着社会经济的不断发展,四阶段法的局限性也显现无疑。非集计模型具有很多集计模型无法比拟的优点,开始引起人们的关注并发展起来。可以预见,随着对非集计模型研究的深入,该模型将在包括交通在内的许多领域得到更广泛的应用。 In the process of traffic demand forecast, calassical four-step traffic demand forecast model is widely used in reasearch and accepted by the mass. But with the development of society and economy, the disadvantages of this method also stand out. The disaggregate model has more advantages than aggregate model, and the disaggregate model has attracted people's attention and developed in recent years. With further study of disaggregate model, it will be widely used in many fields including transportation in the future.
作者 牛虎
出处 《交通标准化》 2007年第12期73-76,共4页 Communications Standardization
关键词 交通需求预测 四阶段法 局限 非集计模型 traffic demand forecast four-step traffic demand forecast model limit the disaggregate model
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