摘要
为解决农业综合开发投资不足的问题,根据理性预期理论研究了投资预期不足的制度原因。与农业资源开发的巨大资金需求、农业可持续发展需求、提高农业综合生产能力的要求及提高国际竞争力相比,农业综合开发投资明显不足,投资预期不高是农业综合开发投资不足的重要原因,投资预期不足的制度原因是收益低、风险高,农业公共财政制度缺位,分级财政投资体制所产生的贫困地区财政紧张、土地产权制度和农村社会保障制度及金融制度缺陷等。应从建立健全农业公共财政制度框架下的农业综合开发投资机制及开展土地产权等农业基础制度创新和改革金融制度等方面健全农业综合开发投资预期机制。
To solve the problem of the long-term insufficient investment in comprehensive agricultural exploitation, this paper analyzed the institutional factor influencing the investment. There is a need to increase the agricultural investment in China so as to meet the sustainable agricultural development, and to improve the agricultural productivity and its international competence. By using rational expectation theory, this paper points out that insufficient investment is mainly due to investors＇ insufficient expectation, which in turn is mainly due to low profit and high risk, imperfect agricultural public institutions, graded finance institution, incomplete proper rights of cultured land, and insufficient rural social security institutions and banking institutions. There is also a need to improve the mechanisms for achieving a perfect public institution system for agricultural finance, and to secure proper rights of cultured land and rural society.
出处
《长江流域资源与环境》
CAS
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第6期723-727,共5页
Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin
基金
湖北省科技厅科技攻关项目"乡镇公共产品供求分析与对策研究"(2005AA401D11)资助
关键词
农业综合开发
农业投资
理性预期
comprehensive agricultural exploitation
agricultural investment
rational expectation
作者简介
鲁德银（1962～），湖北省孝感人，教授，博士研究生，主要从事农业政策方面研究．E-mail：xgldy@sohu．com
