摘要
洛河是黄河的一条重要支流。本文采用洛河[氵状]头水文站1965～2003年共计39年的实测径流资料，依据线性平稳随机模型的理论建立了一阶自回归模型；运用季节性随机模型的理论方法建立洛河[氵状]头站月径流量典型解集模型。经实用性检验，模拟序列与实测序列各项估计参数吻合良好，符合精度要求。该模型可为洛惠渠灌区进行河源来水量预报和用水管理提供决策依据。
Luohe River is an important branch of Yellow River. Based on the theory of linear stationary stochastic model, by using the 39 years actual measuring runoff series data of Zhuangtou hydrologic station from 1965 to 2003, the AR （1） model and the monthly runoff disaggregating models of Zhuangtou station have been established. Through the practicability verification, the parameters of the models have little difference between actual series and the simulation series with correspondeding desirable precision. It shows the model can be supplyed the decision making for the hydrological prediction and water manangement of Luohui irrigation district.
出处
《水资源与水工程学报》
2006年第4期32-35,共4页
Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(50579065)
西北农林科技大学优秀科研人才专项基金
关键词
解集模型
水文模拟
径流
北洛河
disaggregating model
hydrological simulation
runoff
Luohe River
作者简介
徐利岗（1981-），男（汉族），宁夏银川市人，硕士研究生，研究方向：农业水土工程。
