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急性高原反应相关因素的多元线性回归分析 被引量:26

Analyzing physiological factors related to acute mountain sickness with multivariate regression
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摘要 目的 建立急性高原反应(acute mountain sickness,AMS)相关因素的多元线性回归模型,以预测AMS的发生。方法 在平原,对进藏人员用V max229D型肺功能仪测试肺功能;定量饮水后不同时间点测定累计尿量进行饮水试验;吸入低氧气体(10% O2,90% N2)10min进行低氧反应试验。空运进藏后,对AMS进行症状学评分。用逐步回归分析法建立多元线性回归模型。结果经相关分析,初选出受试者胸廓体积、用力肺活量、1s用力呼气容积、最大呼气流量(peak expiratory flow,PEF)和饮水1000 ml后1.5h内尿量、2h内尿量、2.5h内尿量及低氧反应7min时的心率是与AMS相关的危险因素,进一步经逐步回归,消除自变量间的共线性后,筛选出4个重要指标,得多元线性回归方程为:AMS评分=16.108-0.00304×(饮水1000 ml后2.5h内尿量)-0.441×PEF-0.0487×(低氧反应7min时的心率)-0.240×胸廓体积。回归效果检验的F值=5.889(P〈0.01)。结论 肺功能、饮水1000 ml后1.5-2.5h排出的尿量、低氧反应7min时的心率及胸廓体积可作为预测AMS发生与否的重要参考指标。 Objective To analyze the physiological factors related to acute mountain sickness (AMS) and establish a multiple line regression model to predict the AMS. Methods A total of 113 men aged ( 19 ± 1 ) years were enrolled in this study. At 300 m above sea level, the pulmonary function by Vmax 229D spirometer, the physiological responses to hypoxia via breathing mixed gas ( 10%O2 and 90% N2 ) for 10 min, the amount of urine at different time points after fast drinking 1 000 ml water, the responses of breath holding, serum cortisol by RIA, chest volume etc. were investigated. The symptomatic scores of benign form of AMS were calculated on day 2, 3 after the subjects arrived at Lhasa (3 658 m above sea level). Multivariate linear regression analysis was used to check out the factors related to AMS. Results The chest volume, forced vital capacity, forced expiratory volume in 1 s, peak expiratory flow ( PEF), the amount of urine within 1.5 h, 2 h and 2.5 h after fast drinking 1 000 ml water, and the heart rate at 7th min during breathing hypoxic gas were found related to AMS. The model of AMS prediction was as follow : scores of AMS = 16. 108 - 0.003 04 × ( the amount of urine within 2.5 h after drinking 1 000 ml water) -0. 441 × PEF -0.048 7 x (the heart rate at 7th min during breathing hypoxic gas) - 0. 240 × chest volume. Of this equation, F = 5.889 (P 〈 0.01 ). Conclusion Lung function, urine excretion after drinking 1 000 ml water, the heart rate at 7^th min during hypoxia and the chest volume are to be considered as the factors for AMS prediction.
出处 《第三军医大学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2006年第12期1269-1272,共4页 Journal of Third Military Medical University
基金 全军医学科学技术研究"十五"计划指令性课题(01L062)~~
关键词 高原 低氧反应 急性高原反应 预测模型 线性回归 high altitude hypoxia acute mountain sickness prediction multivariate regression.
作者简介 黄庆愿(1967-),男,山东省莱芜市人,博士,副教授,主要从事缺氧病理生理方面的研究,发表论文15篇。电话:(023)68752340-8016,E-mall:wqyhang@yahoo.com 高钰琪,通讯作者:电话:(023)68752331,E-mail:gyq@mall.tmmu.com.cn
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参考文献10

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二级参考文献1

  • 1尹昭云,李晓烟,肖尊禄,吕永达.急性高山反应判别式与判别图的建立及应用[J]应用生理学杂志,1986(03).

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