摘要
分析了石油物流系统的特点及其复杂性,界定了水上石油物流系统,建立了中国水上石油物流系统的动力学模型,采用相关统计数据对模型进行了验证.对未来中国水上石油物流的发展趋势和主要影响要素进行了模拟仿真,结果表明该模型有效可靠,可以用来对中国水上石油物流系统的运作机理进行分析和决策.
The paper analyzed the network structure of petroleum logistics system and its complexity, described the waterborne petroleum logistics system, established the system dynamics model of the waterborne petroleum logistics system of our country, verified the model with the interrelated statistical data, carried on the simulation for the development tendency of waterborne petroleum logistics in the future and analyzed the essential factor finally. The results indicated that the model is effective and reliable, eould be used to analysis the operation mechanism and decision-making for the waterborne petroleum logistics system of our eountry.
出处
《大连海事大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第2期55-58,共4页
Journal of Dalian Maritime University
基金
教育部留学回国人员科研启动基金项目资助(200314)
关键词
水上石油物流
系统动力学
系统建模
数字仿真
waterborne petroleum logistics
systematic dynamics
system modeling
simulation
作者简介
初良勇(1973-),男,黑龙江讷河人,博士研究生,讲师;E-mail:chuliangyong@163.com.