摘要
农民收入增长乏力日益威胁到中国经济的可持续发展，而这一问题加剧于经济市场化程度不断提高、二元赶超政策不断弱化且农业支持政策不断出台。为解释这一现象，本文运用所构建的农民收入决定模型提出了三个命题。基于1952～2003年数据的实证检验表明，改革开放前后我国农民收入变动及其决定特征存在着结构性突变，直接限制了农业减税等传统支持政策的有效性，当前的政策选择应当是降低农业人均扶养比例；提升农业技术水平；限制农业生产资料价格上涨。
The slow growth of countrymen＇ income have increasingly threatened Chinese continually economic development, and this problem brings a theoretical puzzlement when it deteriorated with the expansion of market, the weakening of dualistic overtaking policies, and the establishment of more and more supporting polices towards agriculture. To explain this phenomenon, this article proposes three assumptions based on the income determination model of countrymen. The positive inspection based on the data from 1952 to 2003 in China suggests that： There is a structural mutation in countrymen＇ income change and its determination fashion since the economic reform, and this limits the validity of traditional supporting policies towards agriculture heavily, such as the reduction of agricultural taxes etc. Currently, the rational policies choice should be that debasing the burden rate of per agricultural labor force, upgrading the agricultural technical level, and confining the rising of price in agricultural production goods.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2006年第4期3-13,共11页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
关键词
农民收入
人均扶养比例
技术水平
生产资料价格
Countrymen＇ Income
Burden Rate of Per Labor Force
Technical Level
Price of Production Goods
