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Empirical Study on the Volatility of the Hang-Seng Index

Empirical Study on the Volatility of the Hang-Seng Index
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摘要 We study the statistical properties of volatility of price fluctuation for the Hang-Seng index in the Hong Kong stock market, they are measured by locally averaging over a time window T, the absolute value of price change over a short time interval Δt. The data include minute-by-minute records of the Hang-Seng index from 3 January 1994 to 28 May 1997. We find that the cumulative distribution of the volatility is consistent with the asymptotic power-law behaviour, characterized by the power exponent μ= 2.12 ± 0.04, different from that found in the previous studies as μ≈3. The volatility distribution remains the same asymptotic power-law behaviour for the time scales from T = 10 rain to T - 80 rain. Furthermore, we investigate the volatility correlations by using the power spectrum analysis and detrended fluctuation analysis. Both the methods show a long-range power-law decay with the exponent α=0.636±0.002. We study the statistical properties of volatility of price fluctuation for the Hang-Seng index in the Hong Kong stock market, they are measured by locally averaging over a time window T, the absolute value of price change over a short time interval Δt. The data include minute-by-minute records of the Hang-Seng index from 3 January 1994 to 28 May 1997. We find that the cumulative distribution of the volatility is consistent with the asymptotic power-law behaviour, characterized by the power exponent μ= 2.12 ± 0.04, different from that found in the previous studies as μ≈3. The volatility distribution remains the same asymptotic power-law behaviour for the time scales from T = 10 rain to T - 80 rain. Furthermore, we investigate the volatility correlations by using the power spectrum analysis and detrended fluctuation analysis. Both the methods show a long-range power-law decay with the exponent α=0.636±0.002.
出处 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第3期754-757,共4页 中国物理快报(英文版)
基金 Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos 70471033, 10472116, 10532060, 10547004, 70571074, and 70571075.
关键词 STOCK-MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET TIME-SERIES MODEL FLUCTUATIONS BEHAVIOR PERCOLATION PATTERNS STOCK-MARKET FINANCIAL MARKET TIME-SERIES MODEL FLUCTUATIONS BEHAVIOR PERCOLATION PATTERNS
作者简介 汪秉宏,Email bhwang@ustc.edu.cn周涛,Email: zhutou@ustc.edu
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