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面向不确知需求的库存控制问题 被引量:6

The Problem of Inventory Management Based on Uncertain Demand
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摘要 由于传统经济批量模型的假设条件比较苛刻,尤其是对事先确知年需求量这一要求,这对绝大多数企业来说几乎是做不到的。为了减少理论模型的假设条件,提高理论的适用性并起到抛砖引玉的作用,使得物流理论与实际操作的距离进一步缩短。采用实证研究方法,从市场预测出发,将预测得到的结果作为推算年需求量的参考依据并进行经济批量计算。同时,考虑到预测的误差可能导致计算出来的经济批量不经济,提出了循环预测、循环控制的方法,以期使得计算和操作结果向理想的状态逼近。 The assumptions of traditional Economic Lot Size Model are very strict, especially it requires that the annual demand should be given, which is impossible for most enterprises. In order to break the assumptions of theoretical model, and make the theory more applicable,ults will follow, starting from the market forecast, and with its results used as the reference for calculating annual demand, this thesis calculated the economic lot size by positive research. It also took the error in to account which will probably lead to the uneconomy of economic lot size. The thesis presented cycle forecast and cycle control to improve the results calculated.
出处 《上海第二工业大学学报》 2005年第2期31-36,共6页 Journal of Shanghai Polytechnic University
关键词 循环预测 库存控制 经济批量 cycle forecast, cycle inventory, economic lot size
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