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中国经济周期性波动微观基础的转变 被引量:50

Changes in the Micro-Foundations of Cyclical Fluctuations in the Chinese Economy
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摘要 从改革以来的经济波动情况看,中国转轨时期经济的波动性逐步减小,稳定性增强,其原因可以归结为以国有企业预算约束硬化和稀缺资源在国有与非国有部门之间的优化配置为主要内容的微观经济主体的市场化进程,在市场化的过程中,中国经济波动的微观基础已经发生了重大的变化,这在削弱转轨型波动的同时使成熟的市场经济波动逐步表现出来,因此在目前中国经济新一轮的增长周期中,宏观调控当局既要进一步推进市场化,又要转变调控方式,以适应以生产过剩为内容的市场经济的周期波动。 From the point of view of economic fluctuations in the transitional period since reform, one can observe a gradual and an increase in stability. This can be traced largely to progress of marketization in the micro-economy through the strengthening of budget constraints on SOEs and greater efficiency in allocating scarce resources between the public and the private sectors. In the course of marketization, profound changes have occurred in the micro-economic foundations of China's economic fluctuations. At the same time as these changes have weakened transitional economic fluctuations, the economic fluctuations characteristic of a mature market economy have gradually appeared. The current economic growth is thus proceeding on a totally new basis. Macro-economic regulatory authorities must further the process of marketization and transform their regulatory methods in adapting to the cyclical fluctuations of a market economy characterized by production surpluses.
作者 雎国余 蓝一
出处 《中国社会科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第1期60-70,共11页 Social Sciences in China
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