摘要
分析夏季高温天气对用电负荷的影响,可为电力公司的市场分析与预测部门提供诸如购电决策、电网规划的依据。利用江苏电网2004年夏季高温时段用电量与气温的资料,对江苏电网的用电量与气温之间的敏感度进行了分析,并用多项式拟合及多元线性回归理论,推导出江苏电网2004年夏季高温用电量与气温之间敏感度的数学模型。
Based on the electric power consuming quantity and temperature data in summertime 2004 of Jiangsu province,the sensitive relation between them were analyzed. Through using theory of polynomial imitate and multi-unit linear regression,the model of sensitive degree between the power consuming quantity and temperature in summertime 2004 of Jiangsu province is proposed.
出处
《电力需求侧管理》
2004年第6期20-21,26,共3页
Power Demand Side Management
关键词
气温
电量
多元回归
敏感度
Temperature
Power consuming quantity
Multi-unit linear regression
Sensitive degree
