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气象因素与霍乱发病关系的生态学研究 被引量:6

An Ecological Study on the Association between Meteorological Factors and Incidence of Cholera
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摘要 目的 探讨气象因素与霍乱发病的关系。方法 将绍兴地区 1991~ 2 0 0 1年霍乱各年 6~ 11月份月平均发病率数据进行正态化处理后 ,再利用方差分析、回归分析对可能影响霍乱发病的气温、气压、相对湿度、日照时数、降水量等 5项研究变量进行单因素相关分析和多元逐步回归分析。结果 霍乱的发病与气温呈显著性正相关 ,与气压呈显著性负相关。结论 霍乱发病与高气温、低气压有关。 Objective Analys of association between meteorological factors and incidence of cholera. Methods The incidental rate of cholera in Shaoxing were treated by normality from 1991 to 2001.Analysis of association between incidence of cholera and meteorological factors,including temperature,atmospheric pressure,relative humidity,sunshine time,rainfall etc,was done by simple correlation and multiple stepwise regression. Results There was a significant positive correlation between incidence of cholera and temperature,a significantly negative correlation with atmospheric pressure. Conclusions The incidence of cholera is found to be correlated to the high temperature,low atmospheric pressure.
作者 谈荣梅
出处 《中国预防医学杂志》 CAS 2004年第5期343-345,共3页 Chinese Preventive Medicine
关键词 霍乱 发病关系 气象因素 生态学研究 单因素 发病率 多元逐步回归分析 研究变量 结论 显著性 Cholera Meteorological factors Simple correlation analysis Multiple stepwise regression
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参考文献5

  • 1郭祖超,主编.医用数理统计方法.第3版.北京:人民卫生出版社,1988.122.
  • 2Sattenspiel L.Tropical environments , human activities , and the transmission of infections disease Am J Phys Anthropol , 2000 , (Suppl):313 - 331.
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  • 4Anonymous. Health impacts of climate change. Indian Pediatr , 1998.35:488.
  • 5Pascual M , Rodo X , Ellner SP , et al. Cholera dynamics and El Ninosouthern oscillation. Science, 2000, 289 (5485): 1766.

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