摘要
目的:通过政府卫生支出对城镇居民消费水平的挤出挤入效应分析,为政府卫生支出政策的制定、调整提供一定依据。方法:以1997—2013年河南省相关数据为基础,运用协整理论和误差修正模型(EMC)对河南省城镇人均生活支出、人均政府卫生支出、城镇人均可支配收入进行实证分析。结果:长期和短期的人均政府卫生支出对城镇居民消费均产生挤入效应,系数分别为0.092 920、0.048 083。结论:从长期看,政府卫生支出对城镇居民消费的挤入效应较弱,短期挤入效应更不显著。针对这一情况,相关部门应从进一步增加政府卫生支出;提高政府卫生支出使用效率;有效缩短政府卫生财政政策的时滞性等方面入手,促进政府卫生支出对城镇居民消费能力的积极作用。
Objective:Through analyzing the crowd-in and crowd-out effects of government finance expenditure on health to theconsumption of urban residents,it provided references for formulating and adjusting government health expenditure.Methods:Basedon the related data in Henan from 1997 to 2013,empirical analysis was performed on the per capita living expenditure of urban resi-dents,government expenditures on health and per capita disposable income in urban by using the method of co-integration model anderror correction model.Results:For both long term and short term,government expenditures on health had crowd-in effect on the percapita living expenditure of urban residents;the coefficients were 0.092 920 and 0.048 083 respectively.Conclusion:In long-run,thegovernment expenditure on health had weak crowd-in effect on the per capita living expenditure of urban residents;but it had less sig-nificance in short term.In view of the situation,it proposed that the relevant departments should further increase government expendi-ture on health,improve the usage efficiency of the government expenditure on health and effectively narrow the time lags of govern-ment financial policy on health so as to improve the positive role of government health expenditure on the consumption ability of urbanresidents.
出处
《中国卫生经济》
北大核心
2015年第5期61-63,共3页
Chinese Health Economics
基金
河南省软科学研究计划项目(142400410875)
2014年度新乡医学院科研项目培育基金(2014YB214)
关键词
政府卫生支出
城镇居民消费
挤出效应
挤入效应
government expenditure on health
urban resident consumption
crowd-out effect
crowd-in effect
