摘要
本文利用山东省348户苹果种植户的实地调查数据,首先运用二元Logit模型分析影响农户是否参与合作社的因素,然后运用有序Probit模型分析影响农户参与合作社程度的因素。研究发现:57.76%样本农户已参与合作社,社员农户普遍存在未将所生产苹果全部售给合作社的现象,即参与合作社的程度具有差异性;苹果种植面积、苹果收入比重、苹果质量、市场价格水平和果品市场距离等对农户是否参与合作社具有显著的积极影响,户主文化程度、市场价格波动等对农户是否参与合作社则具有显著的抑制作用;在已经参与合作社的农户中,风险态度、苹果种植面积和苹果质量等对参与合作社的程度具有明显的正向效应,市场价格水平对参与合作社的程度则具有显著的负向影响。
The paper uses surveying data of 348 apple growers in Shandong province and analyzes the determinants of farmers' participation in the cooperatives with binary Logit modeling,and then an ordered Probit model is adopted to investigate factors which affect to what extent they get involved in the cooperatives.The results show that over half of the sample farmers participate in the cooperatives,though most of them do not sell all of their apples to the cooperatives,showing different level of involvement.The factors such as planting size,the percentage of revenue from growing apples,quality of the apples,market price,and distance from fruit market have a significant positive impact on the possibility of farmers' participation in cooperative,while schooling of the head of household,market price fluctuation have a significant negative effect.Among the farmers who have participated in cooperative,the extent of their involvement are mainly positive related with factors like the attitude towards risk of the head of household,planting size,and quality of the apples,while the factor like market price has a significant negative effect.
出处
《中国农村观察》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第5期32-40,95,共10页
China Rural Survey
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"创业型农村合作组织发展机制研究"(项目编号:11CJY052)的部分研究成果
江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目(项目编号:PAPD)的资助成果
