摘要
Objective:To define the level of alarm threshold for pertussisaberrations and to detect the aberrations of the reported suspectedcases of pertussis from the Mazandaran province in the north ofIran.Methods:The included cases were composed of the suspectedpertussis patients who came from Mazandaran province andregistered in the Center for Disease Control and Prevention from20 March 2012 to 20 March 2018.A discrete wavelet transformbasedmethod was used to detect the aberrations.All analyseswere performed using MATLAB Software version 2018a andExcel 2010.Results:A total of 1162 cases were recruited in the study,including 545(46.90%)males and 617(53.10%)females,withmedian age of 1.47(0.22-9.56)years.The median age of maleswas 1.18(0.21-8.24)years,while that of females was 1.82(0.21-10.75)years.Concerning the level of the alarm threshold,it was1.28 case/d when k=2,while it was 1.34 case/d when k=3.Thetotal detected aberration days were 123 d and 57 d by consideringk=2 and 3,respectively.The most defined alarm threshold wasrelated to spring(>2 cases/d)and summer(>1 case/d),respectively.Conclusions:The sensitivity of the surveillance system issubjected to a different time.Thus,determining the level of alarmthreshold periodically using different methods is recommended.
基金
The authors would like to express their appreciation for the Iranian Ministry of Health and Center for Communicable Diseases Control for their constant support and collaboration.This article was extracted from the Ph.D.thesis by Yousef Alimohamadi and financially supported by Tehran University of Medical Sciences.
作者简介
To whom correspondence may be addressed:Kourosh Holakouie-Naieni,E-mail:holakoik@hotmail.com
