摘要
对2004—2016年我国30个省区市碳排放量进行空间相关性检验,并利用空间滞后模型实证分析我国碳排放空间特征。研究发现:地理位置或经济发展程度相近省区市的碳排放量表现出空间集聚特征;样本省区市碳排放具有空间溢出效应,且表现为向西移动扩张;本期碳排放对下一期碳排放有负向滞后作用,且受相邻省区市上一期碳排放的空间溢出影响。基于STIRPAT模型发现引致我国碳排放空间特征的因素包括经济增长、人口数量、技术水平、产业和能源结构、碳排放强度等。建议在碳排放治理工作中采取源头治理和联防联控等措施。
The authors test the spatial correlation of the carbon emissions of 30 Chinese provinces from 2004 to 2016 and analyzes the spatial characteristics of the carbon emissions by the spatial lag model.The results show that the carbon emissions of provinces and cities with similar geographical location or similar economic development level show spatial agglomeration characteristics.The carbon emissions have a spatial spillover effect and a westward movement expansion among the sample provinces and cities;A province’s carbon emissions have a negative effect on its next phase and the carbon emission level of the province is affected by the spatial spillover effect of the previous carbon emission from neighboring provinces and cities.At the same time,based on STIRPAT model,the authors find that economic growth,population size,technology level,industrial and energy structure,carbon emission intensity,and other factors have a certain influence on China’s carbon emission spatial characteristics.Finally,it is suggested that measures such as source control and joint prevention and control should be taken in carbon emission control.
作者
阮聪慧
张喜玲
李涛
RUAN Conghui;ZHANG Xiling;LI Tao(School of Finance,Xinjiang University of Finance&Economics,Urumqi,Xinjiang 830012)
出处
《上海立信会计金融学院学报》
2020年第3期76-86,共11页
Journal of Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance
基金
国家自然科学基金项目“基于潜变量模型的中国与哈萨克斯坦金融安全评价与合作研究”(71663047)
新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目“疫情背景下金融科技的应用与效能提升研究”(XJUFE2020K003)
关键词
碳排放
空间溢出
空间自相关
Carbon emissions
Spatial overflow
Spatial autocorrelation
作者简介
阮聪慧(1996—),女,河南淮阳人,新疆财经大学金融学院硕士研究生,1250801221@qq.com;张喜玲(1977—),女,河南长葛人,经济学博士,新疆财经大学金融学院副教授,119349989@qq.com;李涛(1993—),男,山西高平人,新疆财经大学金融学院硕士研究生,505887411@qq.com。
