摘要
碳排放、碳足迹对气候变化产生深远影响,对维护中国粮食安全带来严峻考验,加剧了中国粮食安全的复杂性和不确定性,侵蚀着中国粮食安全的薄弱根基,恶化了中国粮食安全的现实环境。粮食安全事关国家长治久安和人民健康福祉,作为总体国家安全观的重要组成部分,粮食安全引发中国高度关注。回溯历史,中国在实现粮食自主、保障供应、满足需求等方面取得了突破性成绩;展望未来,中国需对粮食安全领域的潜在风险进行前瞻性风险识别。就“双碳”背景下的中国粮食安全问题而论,回应碳排放、碳足迹所诱发的气候变化,实现维护粮食安全和践行“双碳”承诺的并行不悖,是新时代中国所面临的一项重大而深远的课题。尽管气候变化对中国部分地区改良农业生产条件、扩大粮食种植范围、提高粮食作物产量是有利的,但总体而论,气候变化已经对中国粮食安全产生极其不利的影响。在全球气候骤变的大背景下,中国极端气候产生的人为因素愈发凸显,动摇了中国粮食安全的基础。在“双碳”目标已上升为国家意志的背景下,实现同粮食安全战略“共赢”是因应全球百年大变局和国际国内发展大势的必然抉择。
Carbon emissions and carbon footprints have a profound impact on climate change,bringing severe challenges to maintaining China's food security,exacerbating the complexity and uncertainty of China's food security,eroding the weak foundation of Chinas food security,and deteriorating China's food security,safe and realistic environment.Food security is related to the long-term stability of the country and the health and well-being of the people.As an important part of the overall national security concept,food security has aroused great concern in China.I ooking back on history,China has made break-throughs in achieving grain independence,ensuring supply,and meeting demand.Looking ahead,China needs to carry out forward-looking risk identification of potential risks in the field of food security.As far as China's food security issues are concerned under the background of"dual carbon",responding to climate change induced by carbon emissions and carbon footprints,and realizing the parallel of maintaining food security and implementing the"dual carbon"commitment,are a challenge facing China in the new era,an important and far-reaching issue.Although climate change is beneficial to improving agricultural production conditions,expanding the scope of food planting,and increasing the yield of food crops in some areas of China,in general,climate change has had extremely adverse effects on the China's food security.Against the background of sudden changes in the global climate,the human factors caused by extreme climate in China have become increasingly prominent,shaking the basis of China's food security.Under the back ground that the"dual carbon"goal has become a national will,achieving"win-win"with the food security strategy is an inevitable choice in response to the century-old global changes and the general trend of international and domestic development.
出处
《山东农业大学学报(社会科学版)》
2023年第4期34-39,189,共7页
Journal of Shandong Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“拜登政府气候能源政策析论”(项目编号:JZ2022HGQA0199)
合肥工业大学哲学社会科学培育计划一般项目“‘双碳’背景下中国参与全球粮食安全治理问题研究”(项目编号:JS2023ZSPY0049)。
作者简介
韩佶(1990-),男,安徽宿州人,国际关系博士,合肥工业大学马克思主义学院讲师,研究方向:国家安全,全球治理。