摘要
土地整治是乡村振兴的重要抓手,其政策制定和项目实施关系到农民利益,因而建立健全土地整治社会稳定风险评估体系尤为重要。跟踪农村土地整治社会稳定风险评估研究进展,在理论与经验上有助于建立健全风险评估体系。利用文献计量法和CiteSpace可视化分析对国内外土地整治社会稳定风险评估相关研究文献进行全面梳理,系统分析评估对象、内容、方法和结果等方面的研究现状。文献梳理发现,国内农村土地整治方面的研究开始于20世纪90年代末的经济快速发展背景,土地整治对经济快速发展引致的与耕地资源保护的不协调作出了相应响应,围绕耕地占补平衡开展了土地开发复垦整理。在社会稳定风险评估上,国际的文献主要关注典型区域的土地整理研究,侧重与生态结合的评估研究。而国内现有农村土地整治社会稳定风险评估主要针对中国中、东部各省典型土地整治工程,应用定性和定量相结合的研究方法,从经济、社会、环境与制度的单因子或多因子等不同研究视角对土地整治社会风险进行了全面考察。总的来说,农村土地整治社会风险的评估结果受研究的数据来源、评估方法和项目建设过程中公众参与程度等的影响。村民心理因素变化不容忽视,项目区村民的认知力和心理承受力对农村土地整治社会稳定风险的评估结果也具有重要影响。推动第三方评估主体市场的发展,尤其注重对项目区经济、生态环境及群众意愿与心理因素等方面具体指标的深入调研,依托于项目区的真实情境,选取恰当的指标和方法对土地整治政策的制定及其实施过程进行全程评估,基于情境的机器学习、仿真模拟与智能化是今后农村土地整治社会稳定风险评估进一步研究与应用的方向。
Land consolidation performs as an important support for rural revitalization.Its policy making and project implementation are closely related to the farmers’interests.Therefore,it is important to improve the system of evaluation on the social stability risk of land consolidation.For the purpose,the paper comprehensively reviewed the literature on rural land consolidation and its social stability risk evaluation with the bibliometric method and by CiteSpace visualization.Combining the bulk of domestic literature on the object,content,methods and results of domestic social stability risk evaluation on rural land consolidation,it found that the research of rural land consolidation took shape in the late 1990sin China,the same time when the economic and social development entered its fast growth stage.Driven by the disharmony between economic development and cultivated land resource protection,the focus of policy of rural land consolidation is placed on to resolving the disharmony.In comparison,the international literature focused on land consolidation in typical areas through the analysis of key words on land consolidation,and focused on evaluation combined with ecology.However,in China the evaluation of social stability risk of rural land consolidation was mainly aimed at typical land consolidation projects in central and eastern provinces of China.By applying qualitative and quantitative analysis,researches had investigated the economic,social,environmental and institutional risk of rural land consolidation by single factor or multi factor from different perspectives.In general,the results of the evaluation of rural land consolidation social risk are affected by the data sources,evaluation methods for evaluation research,and the degree of public participation in the project construction process,but the change of the psychological factors of villagers in the project area were too important to ignore.The cognitive and psychological endurance of the villagers in the project area also had an important impact on the evaluation results.The further researches on the social stability risk evaluation of rural land consolidation should firstly deepen understanding of the connotation of its concept,promote the development of the market of the third-parties and then particularly place an emphasis on the thorough investigation of economics,ecological environment,population’s will and psychological factors of the whole project area.Finally,on the basis of the actual situation of the project area,we conduct the evaluation for the formulation,implementation and effect of social risk of rural land consolidation with the appropriate indicators and methods.More attention should be paid to situation-based Machine Learning,and intelligent simulation on the evaluation on social stability risk in rural land consolidation.
作者
高连辉
陈会广
孔冬艳
杨兴典
Lianhui Gao;Huiguang Chen;Dongyan Kong;Xingdian Yang(China Center for Land Policy Research,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing 210095,China;The Key Laboratory of the Coastal Zone Exploitation and Protection,Ministry of Natural Resources,Nanjing 210024,China)
出处
《土地经济研究》
2019年第2期123-153,共31页
Journal of Land Economics
基金
自然资源部海岸带开发与保护重点实验室开放基金(2017CZEPK01)
国家自然科学基金(71573131、71173113)
作者简介
高连辉(1990—),男,福建福清人,土地资源管理专业硕士研究生。;通讯作者:陈会广(1972—),男,山东莒南人,教授,博士生导师。主要研究方向为土地制度与法学,E-mail:chenhuiguang@njau.edu.cn。
