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武汉市“2016.07.06”暴雨洪涝灾害跨区域经济波及效应评估研究 被引量:15
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作者 张正涛 崔鹏 +4 位作者 李宁 刘远 邹强 黄承芳 吴圣楠 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2020年第4期433-441,共9页
为强调跨区域经济波及损失的重要程度,在已构建的灾害动态间接经济损失评估模型的基础上,本研究进一步融入多区域模块改进模型,定量评估武汉市“2016.07.06”暴雨洪涝灾害对湖北省、全国造成的波及损失。结果表明:(1)灾区外遭受的跨区... 为强调跨区域经济波及损失的重要程度,在已构建的灾害动态间接经济损失评估模型的基础上,本研究进一步融入多区域模块改进模型,定量评估武汉市“2016.07.06”暴雨洪涝灾害对湖北省、全国造成的波及损失。结果表明:(1)灾区外遭受的跨区域经济波及损失(24.30亿元)为武汉遭受直接经济损失(87.40亿元)的28%,是灾区武汉市遭受间接经济损失(5.55亿元)的4.4倍,其中湖北省(除武汉市外)受到的经济波及损失为15.57亿元,全国(除湖北省外)为8.73亿元;(2)灾区外制造业受到的波及损失最大,其中湖北省(除武汉外)受损6.52亿元,全国(除湖北省外)受损2.94亿元,分别占各自总波及损失的42%与34%。其他受损行业依次为农业、其他服务业、建筑业等。建议政府决策者保持对跨区域经济波及损失的关注,通过认清损失产生机理制定有针对性的减小损失措施,开展更科学、全面的风险防范与灾后恢复重建。 展开更多
关键词 自然灾害 损失评估 经济波及 间接经济损失
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Effects of ecological soil and water conservation measures on soil erosion control in China’s typical regions:A meta-analysis
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作者 LI Mingming XU Guangzhi +2 位作者 YANG Kaicheng DAI Fuqiang ZHOU Ping 《中国水土保持科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第6期163-175,共13页
[Background]As one of the most serious environmental issues in the world,soil erosion causes water pollution,reservoir siltation,soil productivity decline,thus threatens agricultural systems and even affects global cl... [Background]As one of the most serious environmental issues in the world,soil erosion causes water pollution,reservoir siltation,soil productivity decline,thus threatens agricultural systems and even affects global climate.The benefits of ecological soil and water conservation measures(ESWCMs,such as micro basins tillage and contour tillage)are widely understood,including runoff and soil loss reducing to a certain extent when compared with traditional tillage.While few studies have focused on China’s different soil types and erosion characteristics.[Methods]We reviewed literature from Web of Science,Scopus,and China National Knowledge Infrastructure using terms like“Conservation practice”“Contour tillage”“Runoff”“Sediment”“Erosion”and“China”and retained literatures based on criteria such as natural or simulated precipitation,runoff or soil loss data,reported replications and statistics,recorded factors like location and slope,and at least two data pairs per group.Ultimately,49 literatures were selected to quantify the impacts on different ESWCMs and identify the slope and precipitation for the greatest runoff and sediment reduction by calculating the log response ratio(LRR).[Results]The three regions’soil and water conservation benefits varied due to the differences in climate,terrain,and soil properties:1)ESWCMs applied in the black soil region of Northeast China were the most effective in reducing runoff and soil loss(66.65%runoff and 75.83%sediment),followed by those applied in the purple soil region of Southwest China(39.98%runoff and 58.30%sediment)and loess soil region of Northwest China(16.36%runoff and 32.44%sediment).2)Micro basins tillage(MBT)(71.79%runoff and 87.03%sediment)no-tillage with mulch(NTM)(17.30%runoff and 32.51%sediment),collecting soil to form a ridge with no-till(CSNT)(55.78%runoff and 71.36%sediment reduction)were the most efficient soil and water conservation measures in controlling water erosion in the black soil of Northeast China,the loess soil region of Northwest China and the purple soil region of Southwest China,respectively.3)The slope gradients ranged from 0-3°,>3°-5°and>10°-15°(0-3°:97.09%;>3°-5°:74.62%;and>10°-15°:39.41%)caused the largest reduction of runoff in the black soil region of Northeast China,the loess soil region of Northwest China,and the purple soil region of Southwest China.Meanwhile,the effects of sediment reduction were the most obvious,ranging from 0-3°,>10°-15°,and>20°-25°(0-3°:89.32%;>10°-15°:75.94%;and>20°-25°:67.25%).4)The effect of ESWCMs under rainstorms was the most obvious in the black soil region of Northeast China.The effect on runoff reduction under light rain in the purple soil region of Southwest China was the most obvious,but it failed to pass the significance test in sediment reduction.[Conclusions]The results provided optimal conservation tillage measures for three regions,different slopes and different rainfalls,and provided data support for reducing regional soil and water loss in China. 展开更多
关键词 ecological soil and water conservation measures RUNOFF SEDIMENT water erosion region
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西藏冰湖溃决灾害事件极端气候特征
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作者 贾洋 崔鹏 《气候变化研究进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2020年第4期395-404,共10页
以1960年以来西藏境内已有记载的27次冰湖溃决灾害事件作为研究对象,基于西藏国家气象站点长时间序列(有效记录至今)日气温和日降雨数据,计算得到16个极端气温指数和6个极端降雨指数。通过主成分变换,提取综合极端气温指数和综合极端降... 以1960年以来西藏境内已有记载的27次冰湖溃决灾害事件作为研究对象,基于西藏国家气象站点长时间序列(有效记录至今)日气温和日降雨数据,计算得到16个极端气温指数和6个极端降雨指数。通过主成分变换,提取综合极端气温指数和综合极端降雨指数,并进行历史(10年内对比)极端气候特征对比,获得冰湖溃决灾害发生当年及当月极端气候状态,结果表明西藏冰湖溃决灾害发生期(当年及当月)极端气候特征显著,反映极端气候状态对于激发西藏冰湖溃决灾害发生的重要贡献,具体表现为:(1)67%(18次)的冰湖溃决事件发生当年综合极端气温指数和综合极端降雨指数均大于前期50%年份的综合极端气候指数,其中,13次灾害发生当年极端气候异常水平超过前期70%年份;(2)已有灾害暴发月份记载的25次冰湖溃决事件中,19次冰湖溃决事件发生当月极端气候指数异常偏高,11次冰湖溃决事件发生当月极端气温和极端降水均大于75%往年同期综合极端气候指数;(3)部分灾害事件如扎日错(1981年6月)、龙纠错溃决(2000年8月)等,灾害发生当年极端气温状态低于往年,而暴发当月综合极端气温指数和综合极端降雨指数均大于历史同期水平,表现为加剧状态;(4)所有冰湖溃决灾害发生当月的综合极端气温指数均高于往年同期指数,表明短历时极端气温事件对高原冰湖溃决灾害形成具有重要影响。 展开更多
关键词 冰湖溃决洪水 极端气候 全球变暖 西藏
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